Super LigMatchday 8
Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%54%O2.561%59%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Alanyaspor2:3FenerbahceW
- Fenerbahce2:2AlanyasporD
- Alanyaspor0:2FenerbahceW
- Fenerbahce3:0AlanyasporW
- Fenerbahce2:2AlanyasporD
Fenerbahce's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.5under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.4under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 0.7total 3.1Attack/defence2.1 : 1.0total 3.1
Fenerbahce : AlanyasporMost likely scores
Market2-012%3-010%1-010%2-19%1-18%3-1—Attack/defence2-010%3-07%1-010%2-110%1-110%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-010%3-03-010%3-07%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-19%2-110%1-11-18%1-110%3-13-1—3-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 90%84% | 84% |
| 12 – no draw | 84%79% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%81% | 81% |
| 1 – Fenerbahce win | 74%64% · Elo 75% | 64%· Elo 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%59% | 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%41% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%37% | 37% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 26%36% | 36% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%19% | 19% |
| X – draw | 16%21% · Elo 16% | 21%· Elo 16% |
| 2 – Alanyaspor win | 10%16% · Elo 10% | 16%· Elo 10% |
Attack vs defence
Fenerbahce attack vs Alanyaspor defenceattack1710defence1540+170 pts to the attack
Alanyaspor attack vs Fenerbahce defenceattack1456defence1589−133 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.569%61%
8.557%50%
9.544%37%
10.533%27%
Each team on its own
Fenerbahcewe expect 6.7, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 76%
Alanyasporwe expect 3.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 41%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 23.6 in this match, 24.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.549%58%
24.542%52%
25.536%48%
26.530%41%
Each team on its own
Fenerbahcewe expect 11.5, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 37%
Alanyasporwe expect 12.0, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 42%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%67%
3.546%44%
4.527%26%
5.514%15%
Each team on its own
Fenerbahcewe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Alanyasporwe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Fenerbahce score 2.8 goals per game
- Fenerbahce: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Fenerbahce: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Alanyaspor: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fenerbahce | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 |
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor?
Fenerbahce are the favourites. Chances: Fenerbahce win 74%, draw 16%, Alanyaspor win 10%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Fenerbahce 2.4, Alanyaspor 0.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor?
The chance that both teams score is 48%.
When is Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor?
The Super Lig match kicks off 17 October 2026, 17:00 (UK time).