Super LigMatchday 8

Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 3d 10h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloGenclerbirligi152413%14%Draw18%20%Galatasaray186969%67%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%57%O2.564%60%|exp. goals 1.1 : 2.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Genclerbirligi1:2GalatasarayL
  2. Galatasaray3:2GenclerbirligiL
  3. Genclerbirligi0:2GalatasarayL
  4. Galatasaray6:0GenclerbirligiL
  5. Galatasaray3:0GenclerbirligiL
Genclerbirligi's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.5under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 2.4total 3.3Attack/defence1.1 : 2.0total 3.1
Genclerbirligi : Galatasaray
Most likely scores
Market1-19%0-210%1-210%0-18%0-38%1-3—Attack/defence1-110%0-29%1-210%0-19%0-36%1-37%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%0-20-210%0-29%1-21-210%1-210%0-10-18%0-19%0-30-38%0-36%1-31-3—1-37%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat87%81%81%
Over 1.5 goals85%81%81%
12 – no draw82%78%78%
2 – Galatasaray win69%59% · Elo 67%59%· Elo 67%
Over 2.5 goals64%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals58%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes55%57%57%
Both teams to score: no45%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals42%37%37%
Under 2.5 goals36%40%40%
1X – home team avoid defeat31%41%41%
X – draw18%22% · Elo 20%22%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals15%19%19%
1 – Genclerbirligi win13%20% · Elo 14%20%· Elo 14%
Attack vs defence
Genclerbirligi attack vs Galatasaray defenceattack1408defence1606−198 pts to the attack
Galatasaray attack vs Genclerbirligi defenceattack1697defence1420+277 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 66%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 34%over
We expect 10.0 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.577%61%
8.566%50%
9.554%37%
10.542%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Genclerbirligiwe expect 4.5, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Galatasaraywe expect 6.1, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 83%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 23.3 in this match, 24.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
23.546%58%
24.540%52%
25.533%48%
26.528%41%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Genclerbirligiwe expect 11.4, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 36%
Galatasaraywe expect 11.7, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 40%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.574%67%
3.554%44%
4.535%26%
5.520%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Genclerbirligiwe expect 2.2, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 64%
Galatasaraywe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 50%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Galatasaray: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Genclerbirligi: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Galatasaray: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Galatasaray751116:1116
13Genclerbirligi72237:158
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray?

Galatasaray are the favourites. Chances: Genclerbirligi win 13%, draw 18%, Galatasaray win 69%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray?

Expected goals: 3.3 (Genclerbirligi 0.9, Galatasaray 2.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 64%. Most likely score: 0-2.

Will both teams score in Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray?

The chance that both teams score is 55%.

When is Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray?

The Super Lig match kicks off 17 October 2026, 14:00 (UK time).