Super LigMatchday 9
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 12d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%O2.557%57%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Trabzonspor1:0RizesporL
- Rizespor1:2TrabzonsporL
- Trabzonspor2:0RizesporL
- Rizespor3:1TrabzonsporW
- Rizespor1:0TrabzonsporW
Rizespor's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.5under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.4under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.3 : 1.7total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 3.0
Rizespor : TrabzonsporMost likely scores
Model1-112%1-29%2-17%0-17%0-27%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-18%0-26%1-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-17%2-18%0-10-17%0-18%0-20-27%0-26%1-01-0—1-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 72%65% | 65% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65%66% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57%57% | 57% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 54%60% | 60% |
| 2 – Trabzonspor win | 46%40% · Elo 45% | 40%· Elo 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43%43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%34% | 34% |
| 1 – Rizespor win | 28%35% · Elo 28% | 35%· Elo 28% |
| X – draw | 26%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Rizespor attack vs Trabzonspor defenceattack1490defence1539−49 pts to the attack
Trabzonspor attack vs Rizespor defenceattack1592defence1459+133 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 9.6 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.572%61%
8.561%50%
9.548%37%
10.537%27%
Each team on its own
Rizesporwe expect 5.2, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 57%
Trabzonsporwe expect 4.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 70%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 23.3 in this match, 24.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.547%58%
24.540%52%
25.534%48%
26.528%41%
Each team on its own
Rizesporwe expect 12.1, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 43%
Trabzonsporwe expect 11.1, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 33%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.562%67%
3.541%44%
4.523%26%
5.511%15%
Each team on its own
Rizesporwe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Trabzonsporwe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Rizespor matches average only 3.0 cards (league 4.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Rizespor concede a lot late on: 12 of 28 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Rizespor: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Trabzonspor: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:5 | 13 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?
Trabzonspor are the favourites. Chances: Rizespor win 28%, draw 26%, Trabzonspor win 46%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Rizespor 1.3, Trabzonspor 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 57%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?
The Super Lig match kicks off 26 October 2026, 16:00 (UK time).