CF Montreal vs Atlanta Utd: prediction, tips and stats
·
- Referee:
- Ricardo Montero Araya
Our tips
Tip in 20h 40mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%56%O2.561%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Atlanta Utd3:1CF MontrealL
- CF Montreal1:1Atlanta UtdD
- Atlanta Utd3:2CF MontrealL
- CF Montreal2:2Atlanta UtdD
- Atlanta Utd1:2CF MontrealW
CF Montreal's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.0under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.1under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.
RefereeR. Montero Araya+0.1 yellow cards vs average12 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.5total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
CF Montreal : Atlanta UtdMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-06%2-19%1-28%2-0—0-1—2-27%Attack/defence1-112%1-09%2-19%1-27%2-07%0-17%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-06%1-09%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-0—2-07%0-10-1—0-17%2-22-27%2-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 65%70% | 70% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%53% | 53% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%56% | 56% |
| 1 – CF Montreal win | 40%44% · Elo 42% | 44%· Elo 42% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%31% | 31% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%44% | 44% |
| 2 – Atlanta Utd win | 34%30% · Elo 30% | 30%· Elo 30% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
CF Montreal attack vs Atlanta Utd defenceattack1438defence1490−52 pts to the attack
Atlanta Utd attack vs CF Montreal defenceattack1400defence1418−18 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.549%55%
9.536%44%
10.526%33%
11.517%25%
Each team on its own
CF Montrealwe expect 4.4, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 29%
Atlanta Utdwe expect 3.8, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 33%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 20.6 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.548%53%
21.541%46%
22.534%40%
23.528%35%
Each team on its own
CF Montrealwe expect 10.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Atlanta Utdwe expect 9.4, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 35%
Referee: 22.5 fouls per match on average (30 matches in our data)+1.0 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.571%59%
3.550%39%
4.531%20%
5.517%11%
Each team on its own
CF Montrealwe expect 1.9, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Atlanta Utdwe expect 1.9, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- CF Montreal concede 2.1 goals per game
- CF Montreal: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Atlanta Utd: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:48 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win CF Montreal vs Atlanta Utd?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: CF Montreal win 40%, draw 25%, Atlanta Utd win 34%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in CF Montreal vs Atlanta Utd?
Expected goals: 3.2 (CF Montreal 1.7, Atlanta Utd 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in CF Montreal vs Atlanta Utd?
The chance that both teams score is 64%.
When is CF Montreal vs Atlanta Utd?
The MLS match kicks off 15 October 2026, 00:30 (UK time).
Who is the referee for CF Montreal vs Atlanta Utd?
The referee is Ricardo Montero Araya. In 12 matches in our data they showed 4.4 yellow cards a match on average.