MLS

Toronto FC 2-1 CF Montreal: prediction, tips and result

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Toronto FC
4-42-10-31-30-2
2-1Full time(half time 0-0)
CF Montreal
3-10-20-11-20-2
Stadium:
BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Referee:
Allen Chapman

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5Won65%

under 4.5 card points in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (55% of league matches); referee Allen Chapman averages 3.5 card points a match, league average 4.5; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Lost61%

    9.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.1 in the visitors', league average 10.0

  • Fouls: Under 18.5Lost66%

    our numbers: 16.8 fouls against a league average of 21.1; referee Allen Chapman averages 19.3 fouls a match, league average 21.1

For the brave
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 3.5Lost47%

referee Allen Chapman averages 3.5 card points a match, league average 4.5; our numbers: 3.9 card points against a league average of 4.5; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloToronto FC134948%48%Draw25%27%CF Montreal130327%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%57%O2.562%55%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. CF Montreal0:0Toronto FCD
  2. Toronto FC1:1CF MontrealD
  3. CF Montreal1:6Toronto FCW
  4. CF Montreal0:1Toronto FCW
  5. Toronto FC5:1CF MontrealW
Toronto FC's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 4.2under 4.5: 71%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 4
RefereeA. Chapman−0.9 yellow cards vs average19 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)74%O2.51:1coverageleague 71% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.3total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Toronto FC : CF Montreal
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-07%2-07%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%78%78%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes63%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals62%55%55%
Under 3.5 goals60%68%68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat52%52%52%
1 – Toronto FC win48%48% · Elo 48%48%· Elo 48%
Over 3.5 goals40%32%32%
Under 2.5 goals38%45%45%
Both teams to score: no37%43%43%
2 – CF Montreal win27%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals16%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Toronto FC attack vs CF Montreal defenceattack1419defence1415+4 pts to the attack
CF Montreal attack vs Toronto FC defenceattack1442defence1471−29 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 9.9 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.564%53%
9.552%42%
10.540%32%
11.530%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Toronto FCwe expect 5.3, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 43%
CF Montrealwe expect 5.0, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 84%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 16%
We expect 16.8 in this match, 21.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.521%52%
21.516%45%
22.512%39%
23.58%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Toronto FCwe expect 9.1, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 32%
CF Montrealwe expect 9.7, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 39%
Referee: 19.3 fouls per match on average (195 matches in our data)−3.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.560%59%
3.538%39%
4.521%20%
5.510%10%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Toronto FCwe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
CF Montrealwe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 48%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • CF Montreal concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Toronto FC concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Toronto FC: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • CF Montreal: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Toronto FC

CF Montreal

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Toronto FC287111041:5232
15CF Montreal28661635:5624
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?

Toronto FC 2-1 CF Montreal (half time 0-0).

Did the Toronto FC vs CF Montreal tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5. The tip won.

See also