Chicago Fire 1-1 Inter Miami: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Referee:
Jair Antonio Marrufo

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost71%

referee Jair Antonio Marrufo averages 2.1 cards a match, league average 4.4; our numbers: 3.6 cards against a league average of 4.4

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost60%

    our numbers: 4.1 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2; over 3.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (40% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:2Lost7%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloChicago Fire147041%30%Draw22%28%Inter Miami157537%42%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS77%73%O2.579%74%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Inter Miami3:2Chicago FireL
  2. Inter Miami3:5Chicago FireW
  3. Chicago Fire0:0Inter MiamiD
  4. Chicago Fire1:4Inter MiamiL
  5. Inter Miami2:1Chicago FireL
Chicago Fire's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.6league 4.4under 4.5: 71%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 5
RefereeJ. Antonio Marrufo−2.7 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 2.0total 4.1Attack/defence2.0 : 1.8total 3.8
Chicago Fire : Inter Miami
Most likely scores
Market1-17%2-17%2-27%1-27%3-1—3-25%Attack/defence1-18%2-18%2-27%1-27%3-15%3-25%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-18%2-12-17%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%1-21-27%1-27%3-13-1—3-15%3-23-25%3-25%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals93%90%90%
Over 2.5 goals79%74%74%
12 – no draw78%78%78%
Both teams to score: yes77%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%64%64%
Over 3.5 goals60%53%53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%58%58%
1 – Chicago Fire win41%42% · Elo 30%42%· Elo 30%
Under 3.5 goals40%47%47%
2 – Inter Miami win37%36% · Elo 42%36%· Elo 42%
Both teams to score: no23%27%27%
X – draw22%22% · Elo 28%22%· Elo 28%
Under 2.5 goals21%26%26%
Under 1.5 goals7%10%10%
Attack vs defence
Chicago Fire attack vs Inter Miami defenceattack1577defence1471+106 pts to the attack
Inter Miami attack vs Chicago Fire defenceattack1696defence1483+213 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Inter Miami score 2.7 goals per game
  • Chicago Fire: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Inter Miami: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Chicago Fire: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Inter Miami: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Inter Miami281310568:5049
3Chicago Fire28146851:4048
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami?

Chicago Fire 1-1 Inter Miami (half time 1-0).

Did the Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.