Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United: prediction, tips and stats
·
- Referee:
- Victor Rivas
Our tips
Tip in 20h 46mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%57%O2.560%53%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Minnesota United0:1Colorado RapidsW
- Colorado Rapids1:1Minnesota UnitedD
- Minnesota United1:2Colorado RapidsW
- Minnesota United3:0Colorado RapidsL
- Colorado Rapids3:3Minnesota UnitedD
Colorado Rapids's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.1under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.
RefereeV. Rivas+0.7 yellow cards vs average18 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.4total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Colorado Rapids : Minnesota UnitedMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%1-27%0-1—2-07%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-17%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-27%1-28%0-10-1—0-17%2-02-07%2-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 70%69% | 69% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%53% | 53% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%57% | 57% |
| 1 – Colorado Rapids win | 44%43% · Elo 41% | 43%· Elo 41% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%31% | 31% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%43% | 43% |
| 2 – Minnesota United win | 30%32% · Elo 32% | 32%· Elo 32% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Colorado Rapids attack vs Minnesota United defenceattack1438defence1498−60 pts to the attack
Minnesota United attack vs Colorado Rapids defenceattack1517defence1520−3 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 9.0 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.553%55%
9.541%44%
10.530%33%
11.520%25%
Each team on its own
Colorado Rapidswe expect 5.2, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 41%
Minnesota Unitedwe expect 3.7, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 31%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 22.0 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.559%53%
21.551%46%
22.544%40%
23.538%35%
Each team on its own
Colorado Rapidswe expect 11.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
Minnesota Unitedwe expect 10.3, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Referee: 22.8 fouls per match on average (143 matches in our data)+0.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.576%59%
3.556%39%
4.537%20%
5.522%11%
Each team on its own
Colorado Rapidswe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Minnesota Unitedwe expect 2.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 71%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Minnesota United11 matches in a row with BTTSaway: 8Went on 56%League 64%Model 62%Record 19
- Minnesota United9 matches in a row over 2.5 goalsaway: 4Went on 58%League 64%Model 60%Record 14
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Minnesota United concede 2.6 goals per game
- Minnesota United: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Minnesota United: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Minnesota United: no win in 7 matches
- Colorado Rapids: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Minnesota United: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39:39 | 37 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42:51 | 30 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United?
Colorado Rapids are the favourites. Chances: Colorado Rapids win 44%, draw 26%, Minnesota United win 30%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Colorado Rapids 1.7, Minnesota United 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 60%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United?
The chance that both teams score is 62%.
When is Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United?
The MLS match kicks off 15 October 2026, 02:30 (UK time).
Who is the referee for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United?
The referee is Victor Rivas. In 18 matches in our data they showed 5.0 yellow cards a match on average.