Seattle Sounders 3-1 Minnesota United: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 27 September · 01:30

Seattle Sounders

2-2 0-0 1-1 3-3 2-0

3-1Full time(half time 2-0)

Minnesota United

2-3 2-4 1-2 4-5 3-3

Stadium:: Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Referee:: Nabil Bensalah

Our tips

Main tip

Cards: Under 4.5Won65%

under 4.5 cards in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (55% of league matches); 2.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.4 in the visitors', league average 4.3

Other tips

Both Teams To Score: YesWon63%
goals at both ends in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (63% of league matches)

For the brave

Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSeattle Sounders146546%46%Draw25%27%Minnesota United140729%27%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%55%O2.562%52%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

22/03/202622/03/26Minnesota United0:0Seattle SoundersD
08/11/202508/11/25Minnesota United3:3Seattle SoundersD
04/11/202504/11/25Seattle Sounders4:2Minnesota UnitedW
28/10/202528/10/25Minnesota United0:0Seattle SoundersD
17/08/202517/08/25Minnesota United1:0Seattle SoundersL

Seattle Sounders's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12

Cardsleague cards3.9league 4.3under 4.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 4

RefereeN. Bensalah−1.2 cards vs average4 matches

Dutching(several bets at once)74%O2.51:1coverageleague 70% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.8 : 1.4total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8

Seattle Sounders : Minnesota United

Most likely scores

Market1-111%1-07%2-19%2-07%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%2-08%1-27%0-17%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-07%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-17%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	83%76%	76%
12 – no draw	75%75%	75%
1X – home team avoid defeat	71%73%	73%
Both teams to score: yes	63%55%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	62%52%	52%
Under 3.5 goals	61%70%	70%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	54%53%	53%
1 – Seattle Sounders win	46%47% · Elo 46%	47%· Elo 46%
Over 3.5 goals	39%30%	30%
Under 2.5 goals	38%48%	48%
Both teams to score: no	37%45%	45%
2 – Minnesota United win	29%27% · Elo 27%	27%· Elo 27%
X – draw	25%26% · Elo 27%	26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals	17%24%	24%

Attack vs defence

Seattle Sounders attack vs Minnesota United defenceattack1491defence1507−16 pts to the attack

Minnesota United attack vs Seattle Sounders defenceattack1520defence1562−42 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Minnesota United concede 2.2 goals per game
Seattle Sounders matches average only 2.7 cards (league 4.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
Minnesota United: 4 defeats in a row
Minnesota United: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Seattle Sounders score a lot late on: 10 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
Seattle Sounders: 3 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
Minnesota United: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form