Portland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Providence Park, Portland, OR
Referee:
Filip Dujic

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon66%

goals at both ends in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (63% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won55%

    under 4.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPortland Timbers138739%39%Draw25%28%Minnesota United140736%33%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%56%O2.564%52%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Minnesota United2:0Portland TimbersL
  2. Minnesota United1:1Portland TimbersD
  3. Portland Timbers1:1Minnesota UnitedD
  4. Portland Timbers3:2Minnesota UnitedW
  5. Minnesota United2:1Portland TimbersL
Portland Timbers's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.0over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 4
RefereeF. Dujic+0.3 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.6total 3.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Portland Timbers : Minnesota United
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-05%2-18%1-28%0-1—2-27%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-09%2-19%1-28%0-18%2-2—2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-05%1-09%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-1—0-18%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%76%76%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes66%56%56%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%67%67%
Over 2.5 goals64%52%52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat61%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals58%70%70%
Over 3.5 goals42%30%30%
1 – Portland Timbers win39%41% · Elo 39%41%· Elo 39%
2 – Minnesota United win36%33% · Elo 33%33%· Elo 33%
Under 2.5 goals36%48%48%
Both teams to score: no34%44%44%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals15%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Portland Timbers attack vs Minnesota United defenceattack1494defence1549−55 pts to the attack
Minnesota United attack vs Portland Timbers defenceattack1508defence1481+27 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Portland Timbers: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Minnesota United: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Portland Timbers: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Minnesota United: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Portland Timbers28961351:5433
14Minnesota United28791242:5130
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United?

Portland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United (half time 3-2).

Did the Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.