Portland Timbers 1-2 Austin FC: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Providence Park, Portland, OR
Referee:
Guido Gonzales Jr

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won64%

over 2.5 goals in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (63% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Match Result: Portland TimbersLost60%

    Portland Timbers: won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPortland Timbers138760%53%Draw21%25%Austin FC135419%22%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%53%O2.564%53%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Austin FC0:0Portland TimbersD
  2. Portland Timbers1:0Austin FCW
  3. Portland Timbers0:1Austin FCL
  4. Austin FC0:2Portland TimbersW
  5. Austin FC1:2Portland TimbersW
Portland Timbers's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.3under 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.lost · ended 5
RefereeG. Gonzales Jr−0.2 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.1total 3.3Attack/defence1.8 : 1.0total 2.8
Portland Timbers : Austin FC
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-07%2-110%2-09%3-17%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-111%1-011%2-110%2-010%3-1—0-06%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-01-07%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-010%3-13-17%3-1—0-00-0—0-06%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%79%79%
12 – no draw79%76%76%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals64%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes61%53%53%
1 – Portland Timbers win60%55% · Elo 53%55%· Elo 53%
Under 3.5 goals58%69%69%
Over 3.5 goals42%31%31%
X2 – away team avoid defeat40%45%45%
Both teams to score: no39%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals36%47%47%
X – draw21%24% · Elo 25%24%· Elo 25%
2 – Austin FC win19%21% · Elo 22%21%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals15%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Portland Timbers attack vs Austin FC defenceattack1500defence1446+54 pts to the attack
Austin FC attack vs Portland Timbers defenceattack1387defence1485−98 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Austin FC concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Portland Timbers: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Austin FC: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Austin FC concede a lot late on: 17 of 38 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Portland Timbers: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Austin FC: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Portland Timbers28961351:5433
13Austin FC287101136:5131
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Portland Timbers vs Austin FC?

Portland Timbers 1-2 Austin FC (half time 0-1).

Did the Portland Timbers vs Austin FC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.