Austin FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX (attendance: 20,738)
Referee:
Rodrigo Albuquerque

The match in numbers

1X2EloAustin FC135422%32%Draw24%28%Philadelphia Union152754%41%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%54%O2.561%50%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Austin FC2:2Philadelphia UnionD
Austin FC's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses4.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.4under 4.5: 51%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 3
RefereeR. Albuquerque+3.4 cards vs average1 match

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 2.0total 3.2Attack/defence1.2 : 1.5total 2.7
Austin FC : Philadelphia Union
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%0-18%0-28%1-0—2-1—1-36%Attack/defence1-113%1-29%0-110%0-28%1-08%2-17%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-18%0-110%0-20-28%0-28%1-01-0—1-08%2-12-1—2-17%1-31-36%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat78%70%70%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals62%72%72%
Over 2.5 goals61%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes60%54%54%
2 – Philadelphia Union win54%43% · Elo 41%43%· Elo 41%
1X – home team avoid defeat46%57%57%
Both teams to score: no40%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals39%50%50%
Over 3.5 goals38%28%28%
X – draw24%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
1 – Austin FC win22%30% · Elo 32%30%· Elo 32%
Under 1.5 goals17%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Austin FC attack vs Philadelphia Union defenceattack1391defence1553−162 pts to the attack
Philadelphia Union attack vs Austin FC defenceattack1544defence1439+105 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Austin FC concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Philadelphia Union concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Austin FC: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Austin FC concede a lot late on: 18 of 39 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Austin FC score a lot late on: 10 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Austin FC played 3 days ago
  • Philadelphia Union: 3 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Austin FCWestern Conference287101136:5131
6Philadelphia UnionEastern Conference281261056:4542
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union?

Austin FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union (half time 1-1).