Columbus Crew vs Charlotte: prediction, tips and stats
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- Referee:
- Tim Ford
Our tips
Tip in 20h 40mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%57%O2.564%55%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Charlotte3:1Columbus CrewL
- Charlotte3:2Columbus CrewL
- Columbus Crew4:2CharlotteW
- Columbus Crew1:1CharlotteD
- Charlotte2:0Columbus CrewL
Columbus Crew's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.0under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
RefereeT. Ford−0.4 yellow cards vs average12 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.4total 3.3Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Columbus Crew : CharlotteMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-0—2-07%1-27%2-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%2-08%1-27%2-2—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-0—1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%72% | 72% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64%55% | 55% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 52%53% | 53% |
| 1 – Columbus Crew win | 48%47% · Elo 39% | 47%· Elo 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42%33% | 33% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: no | 35%43% | 43% |
| 2 – Charlotte win | 28%28% · Elo 33% | 28%· Elo 33% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Columbus Crew attack vs Charlotte defenceattack1504defence1522−18 pts to the attack
Charlotte attack vs Columbus Crew defenceattack1498defence1520−22 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 9.7 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.562%55%
9.550%44%
10.539%33%
11.528%25%
Each team on its own
Columbus Crewwe expect 5.6, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 48%
Charlottewe expect 4.4, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 68%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 32%
We expect 19.3 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.539%53%
21.532%46%
22.526%40%
23.520%35%
Each team on its own
Columbus Crewwe expect 9.7, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 38%
Charlottewe expect 10.4, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Referee: 21.3 fouls per match on average (103 matches in our data)−1.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 37%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.559%59%
3.537%39%
4.520%20%
5.510%11%
Each team on its own
Columbus Crewwe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Charlottewe expect 1.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Columbus Crew: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Charlotte matches average 13.3 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Charlotte: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Columbus Crew: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Columbus Crew: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Charlotte: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlotte | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | 29 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?
Columbus Crew are the favourites. Chances: Columbus Crew win 48%, draw 24%, Charlotte win 28%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Columbus Crew 1.9, Charlotte 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 64%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?
The chance that both teams score is 65%.
When is Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?
The MLS match kicks off 15 October 2026, 00:30 (UK time).
Who is the referee for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?
The referee is Tim Ford. In 12 matches in our data they showed 3.8 yellow cards a match on average.