MLS

Orlando City 3-2 Columbus Crew: prediction, tips and result

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Orlando City
1-03-23-02-42-4
3-2Full time(half time 2-1)
Columbus Crew
2-12-00-11-23-0
Stadium:
Inter.co Stadium, Orlando, FL
Referee:
Rosendo Mendoza

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon69%

Orlando City: scored in each of their last 15 league matches

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Lost60%

    under 10.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (57% of league matches)

  • Cards – Columbus Crew (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won58%

    Columbus Crew: under 2.5 card points in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Orlando City's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 7 of 10 (56% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Offsides: Over 3.5Won61%

    5.1 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 3.8 in the visitors', league average 3.1; our numbers: 4.3 offsides against a league average of 3.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloOrlando City144045%44%Draw24%27%Columbus Crew142332%28%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%63%O2.569%62%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Columbus Crew1:1Orlando CityD
  2. Orlando City1:1Columbus CrewD
  3. Columbus Crew1:3Orlando CityW
  4. Columbus Crew4:3Orlando CityL
  5. Orlando City0:2Columbus CrewL
Orlando City's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.1under 4.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 5
RefereeR. Mendoza+0.1 yellow cards vs average17 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)69%X22:13:1coverageleague 69% · H2H 5/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.6total 3.5Attack/defence1.8 : 1.4total 3.2
Orlando City : Columbus Crew
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-27%2-27%1-0—2-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-27%2-27%1-07%2-06%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-02-0—2-06%3-13-16%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%83%83%
12 – no draw77%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%69%69%
Over 2.5 goals69%62%62%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes69%63%63%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%55%55%
Under 3.5 goals52%61%61%
Over 3.5 goals48%39%39%
1 – Orlando City win45%45% · Elo 44%45%· Elo 44%
2 – Columbus Crew win32%31% · Elo 28%31%· Elo 28%
Under 2.5 goals31%39%39%
Both teams to score: no31%37%37%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 27%24%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals12%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Orlando City attack vs Columbus Crew defenceattack1553defence1526+27 pts to the attack
Columbus Crew attack vs Orlando City defenceattack1498defence1429+69 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 9.1 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.556%53%
9.543%42%
10.532%32%
11.522%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Orlando Citywe expect 5.3, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 44%
Columbus Crewwe expect 3.9, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 20.8 in this match, 21.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.550%53%
21.543%45%
22.536%39%
23.530%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Orlando Citywe expect 10.3, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 45%
Columbus Crewwe expect 9.9, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
Referee: 23.0 fouls per match on average (138 matches in our data)+0.7 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 4.3 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.579%59%
3.561%39%
4.542%20%
5.526%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Orlando Citywe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Columbus Crewwe expect 2.8, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 75%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Orlando City concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Orlando City: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Columbus Crew: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Orlando City: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Columbus Crew: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Orlando City

Columbus Crew

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Orlando City281141351:6637
13Columbus Crew28851541:4629
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Orlando City vs Columbus Crew?

Orlando City 3-2 Columbus Crew (half time 2-1).

Did the Orlando City vs Columbus Crew tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.

See also