Philadelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Subaru Park, Chester, PA
Referee:
Sergii Demianchuk

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: Philadelphia UnionWon63%

Philadelphia Union: won 8 of their last 10 league matches; 5 league wins in a row

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 3.5Won58%

    our numbers: 4.0 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2; over 3.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 10 (39% of league matches)

  • Cards: Under 4.5Lost61%

    referee Sergii Demianchuk averages 3.7 cards a match, league average 4.3

For the brave
Correct Score: 3:1Lost7%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPhiladelphia Union152763%52%Draw18%25%Orlando City144019%22%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%62%O2.577%66%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Orlando City4:3Philadelphia UnionL
  2. Philadelphia Union0:0Orlando CityD
  3. Orlando City2:4Philadelphia UnionW
  4. Orlando City2:1Philadelphia UnionL
  5. Philadelphia Union2:3Orlando CityL
Philadelphia Union's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.3under 4.5: 61%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 6
RefereeS. Demianchuk−0.7 cards vs average12 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)69%12:2coverageleague 52% · H2H 1/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 1.4total 4.0Attack/defence2.2 : 1.2total 3.4
Philadelphia Union : Orlando City
Most likely scores
Market2-19%1-17%2-06%1-0—3-17%2-26%3-0—Attack/defence2-110%1-19%2-08%1-07%3-17%2-2—3-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%1-11-17%1-19%2-02-06%2-08%1-01-0—1-07%3-13-17%3-17%2-22-26%2-2—3-03-0—3-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals92%85%85%
12 – no draw82%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%81%81%
Over 2.5 goals77%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes71%62%62%
Our tip: 1 – Philadelphia Union win63%60% · Elo 52%60%· Elo 52%
Over 3.5 goals58%44%44%
Under 3.5 goals42%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat37%40%40%
Both teams to score: no29%38%38%
Under 2.5 goals23%34%34%
2 – Orlando City win19%19% · Elo 22%19%· Elo 22%
X – draw18%21% · Elo 25%21%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals8%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Philadelphia Union attack vs Orlando City defenceattack1597defence1438+159 pts to the attack
Orlando City attack vs Philadelphia Union defenceattack1551defence1582−31 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Philadelphia Union score 2.9 goals per game
  • Philadelphia Union: 5 wins in a row
  • Philadelphia Union: 26 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Philadelphia Union: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Orlando City: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Philadelphia Union281261056:4542
7Orlando City281141351:6637
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City?

Philadelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City (half time 2-0).

Did the Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Philadelphia Union. The tip won.