Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 22hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%53%O2.555%48%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- FC Dallas4:3Houston DynamoL
- FC Dallas0:2Houston DynamoW
- Houston Dynamo1:2FC DallasL
- Houston Dynamo1:1FC DallasD
- FC Dallas2:0Houston DynamoL
Houston Dynamo's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.6
Houston Dynamo : FC DallasMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%2-19%0-1—2-07%0-0—1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-18%2-08%0-08%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%2-02-07%2-08%0-00-0—0-08%1-21-27%1-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%70% | 70% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%74% | 74% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%53% | 53% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%48% | 48% |
| 1 – Houston Dynamo win | 45%44% · Elo 39% | 44%· Elo 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%26% | 26% |
| 2 – FC Dallas win | 29%30% · Elo 33% | 30%· Elo 33% |
| X – draw | 26%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Houston Dynamo attack vs FC Dallas defenceattack1410defence1497−87 pts to the attack
FC Dallas attack vs Houston Dynamo defenceattack1521defence1581−60 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 8.8 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.551%55%
9.539%44%
10.528%33%
11.519%25%
Each team on its own
Houston Dynamowe expect 4.7, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 33%
FC Dallaswe expect 3.8, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 34%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 21.2 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.553%53%
21.546%46%
22.539%40%
23.532%35%
Each team on its own
Houston Dynamowe expect 9.3, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
FC Dallaswe expect 11.9, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 62%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 74%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 26%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.547%59%
3.526%39%
4.512%20%
5.55%11%
Each team on its own
Houston Dynamowe expect 1.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
FC Dallaswe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- FC Dallas concede 2.0 goals per game
- FC Dallas: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- FC Dallas: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Houston Dynamo played 3 days ago
- FC Dallas played 3 days ago
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52:45 | 47 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 45 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
Houston Dynamo are the favourites. Chances: Houston Dynamo win 45%, draw 26%, FC Dallas win 29%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
Expected goals: 2.9 (Houston Dynamo 1.6, FC Dallas 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
The chance that both teams score is 58%.
When is Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
The MLS match kicks off 18 October 2026, 01:30 (UK time).