Inter Miami 4-0 DC United: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Nu Stadium, Miami, FL
Referee:
Lukasz Szpala

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost67%

Inter Miami: scored in each of their last 23 league matches; goals at both ends in 10 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (64% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Match Result: Inter MiamiWon67%

    Inter Miami: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

  • Offsides – DC United: Under 1.5Won65%

    DC United: under 1.5 offsides in 8 of their last 10 league matches, Inter Miami's opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 6 of 10 (58% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Inter Miami: Under 10.5Lost57%

    our numbers for Inter Miami: 10.1 fouls against a league average of 10.7

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloInter Miami157567%73%Draw17%16%DC United129016%10%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%62%O2.574%71%|exp. goals 2.6 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. DC United1:2Inter MiamiW
  2. Inter Miami3:2DC UnitedW
  3. DC United1:1Inter MiamiD
  4. Inter Miami1:0DC UnitedW
  5. DC United1:3Inter MiamiW
Inter Miami's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 0
RefereeL. Szpala−0.1 yellow cards vs average1 match

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 1.2total 3.8Attack/defence2.6 : 1.1total 3.7
Inter Miami : DC United
Most likely scores
Market2-19%2-07%3-18%1-17%3-06%1-0—Attack/defence2-19%2-08%3-18%1-17%3-07%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-19%2-02-07%2-08%3-13-18%3-18%1-11-17%1-17%3-03-06%3-07%1-01-0—1-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals90%88%88%
1X – home team avoid defeat84%86%86%
12 – no draw83%83%83%
Over 2.5 goals74%71%71%
1 – Inter Miami win67%69% · Elo 73%69%· Elo 73%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes67%62%62%
Over 3.5 goals54%50%50%
Under 3.5 goals46%50%50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat33%31%31%
Both teams to score: no33%38%38%
Under 2.5 goals26%29%29%
X – draw17%17% · Elo 16%17%· Elo 16%
2 – DC United win16%14% · Elo 10%14%· Elo 10%
Under 1.5 goals10%12%12%
Attack vs defence
Inter Miami attack vs DC United defenceattack1671defence1430+241 pts to the attack
DC United attack vs Inter Miami defenceattack1406defence1479−73 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 9.3 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.557%53%
9.545%42%
10.533%32%
11.524%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Inter Miamiwe expect 5.6, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 48%
DC Unitedwe expect 3.9, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 21.0 in this match, 21.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.552%53%
21.544%45%
22.537%39%
23.531%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Inter Miamiwe expect 10.1, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
DC Unitedwe expect 10.8, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 51%
Referee: 22.4 fouls per match on average (91 matches in our data)+0.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.556%59%
3.534%39%
4.518%20%
5.58%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Inter Miamiwe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
DC Unitedwe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 35%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Inter Miami concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Inter Miami matches average 5.6 cards (league 4.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Inter Miami: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Inter Miami: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Inter Miami: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • DC United: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Inter Miami281310568:5049
12DC United27612934:4630
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Inter Miami vs DC United?

Inter Miami 4-0 DC United (half time 2-0).

Did the Inter Miami vs DC United tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.