Los Angeles FC 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Referee:
Guido Gonzales Jr

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Vancouver Whitecaps (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Lost60%

Vancouver Whitecaps: under 2.5 card points in 8 of their last 10 league matches, Los Angeles FC's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 6 of 10 (56% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Los Angeles FC: Under 4.5Won58%

    Los Angeles FC: 3.8 shots on target a match, Vancouver Whitecaps's opponents had 3.4 on average, league average 5.0; under 4.5 shots on target in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Vancouver Whitecaps's opponents had under 4.5 in 6 of 10 (47% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Los Angeles FC: Under 10.5Won66%

    our numbers for Los Angeles FC: 9.4 fouls against a league average of 10.7; Los Angeles FC: under 10.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 league matches, Vancouver Whitecaps's opponents committed under 10.5 in 6 of 10 (48% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Won12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLos Angeles FC149839%39%Draw26%28%Vancouver Whitecaps154335%33%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%56%O2.561%51%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Vancouver Whitecaps1:1Los Angeles FCD
  2. Vancouver Whitecaps2:2Los Angeles FCD
  3. Los Angeles FC0:1Vancouver WhitecapsL
  4. Vancouver Whitecaps2:2Los Angeles FCD
  5. Los Angeles FC1:0Vancouver WhitecapsW
Los Angeles FC's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.0under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 5
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.4league 4.1under 4.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.lost · ended 5
RefereeG. Gonzales Jr+0.6 yellow cards vs average12 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%1X1:2coverageleague 78% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.5total 3.1Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Los Angeles FC : Vancouver Whitecaps
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-06%0-1—1-28%2-27%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%2-19%1-09%0-18%1-28%2-2—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-06%1-09%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-2—0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%76%76%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat65%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes64%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat61%61%61%
Over 2.5 goals61%51%51%
Under 3.5 goals61%71%71%
1 – Los Angeles FC win39%39% · Elo 39%39%· Elo 39%
Under 2.5 goals39%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals39%29%29%
Both teams to score: no36%44%44%
2 – Vancouver Whitecaps win35%34% · Elo 33%34%· Elo 33%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals17%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Los Angeles FC attack vs Vancouver Whitecaps defenceattack1524defence1611−87 pts to the attack
Vancouver Whitecaps attack vs Los Angeles FC defenceattack1635defence1614+21 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 9.1 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.554%53%
9.542%42%
10.531%32%
11.521%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Los Angeles FCwe expect 4.3, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 27%
Vancouver Whitecapswe expect 4.6, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 48%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 19.6 in this match, 21.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.541%53%
21.534%45%
22.528%39%
23.522%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Los Angeles FCwe expect 9.4, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
Vancouver Whitecapswe expect 9.9, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
Referee: 22.5 fouls per match on average (140 matches in our data)+0.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 65%close to the league averageunderover 35%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.557%59%
3.535%39%
4.518%20%
5.59%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Los Angeles FCwe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Vancouver Whitecapswe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 38%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Vancouver Whitecaps: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Los Angeles FC matches average 12.8 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Los Angeles FC: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps: only 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 21 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Los Angeles FC: 14 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps28156761:3051
6Los Angeles FC29119944:3142
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Los Angeles FC 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps (half time 0-1).

Did the Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Vancouver Whitecaps (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip lost.