MLS

Chicago Fire 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps: prediction, tips and result

·

Chicago Fire
4-41-11-20-31-0
3-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps
3-33-01-23-01-3
Stadium:
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Vancouver Whitecaps (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won61%

Vancouver Whitecaps: under 2.5 card points in 8 of their last 10 league matches, Chicago Fire's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 8 of 10 (56% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Chicago Fire: Under 5.5Lost70%

    Vancouver Whitecaps's opponents had 2.9 shots on target on average, league average 5.0; Chicago Fire: under 5.5 shots on target in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Vancouver Whitecaps's opponents had under 5.5 in 8 of 10 (61% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloChicago Fire147033%33%Draw24%28%Vancouver Whitecaps154343%40%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS70%63%O2.570%60%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Vancouver Whitecaps1:3Chicago FireW
  2. Chicago Fire0:1Vancouver WhitecapsL
  3. Vancouver Whitecaps1:3Chicago FireW
  4. Chicago Fire0:2Vancouver WhitecapsL
  5. Chicago Fire1:1Vancouver WhitecapsD
Chicago Fire's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 3
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)66%1X1:2coverageleague 78% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.9total 3.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.6total 3.1
Chicago Fire : Vancouver Whitecaps
Most likely scores
Market1-19%1-28%2-17%2-27%0-1—1-0—1-35%Attack/defence1-111%1-29%2-18%2-27%0-17%1-06%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%1-21-28%1-29%2-12-17%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-1—0-17%1-01-0—1-06%1-31-35%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%82%82%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals70%60%60%
Both teams to score: yes70%63%63%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%65%65%
1X – home team avoid defeat57%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals51%62%62%
Over 3.5 goals49%38%38%
2 – Vancouver Whitecaps win43%41% · Elo 40%41%· Elo 40%
1 – Chicago Fire win33%35% · Elo 33%35%· Elo 33%
Under 2.5 goals30%40%40%
Both teams to score: no30%38%38%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals12%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Chicago Fire attack vs Vancouver Whitecaps defenceattack1559defence1621−62 pts to the attack
Vancouver Whitecaps attack vs Chicago Fire defenceattack1641defence1500+141 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 8.9 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.553%53%
9.541%42%
10.529%32%
11.520%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Chicago Firewe expect 4.5, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 30%
Vancouver Whitecapswe expect 4.3, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 21.1 in this match, 21.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.552%53%
21.545%45%
22.538%39%
23.532%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Chicago Firewe expect 10.7, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 50%
Vancouver Whitecapswe expect 10.4, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 66%close to the league averageunderover 34%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.556%59%
3.534%39%
4.518%20%
5.58%10%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Chicago Firewe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Vancouver Whitecapswe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 36%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

Chicago Fire

Vancouver Whitecaps

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Chicago FireEastern Conference28146851:4048
1Vancouver WhitecapsWestern Conference28156761:3051
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Chicago Fire 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps (half time 1-0).

Did the Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Vancouver Whitecaps (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.

See also