MLS

Chicago Fire 1-2 New England Revolution: prediction, tips and result

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Chicago Fire
2-11-12-24-41-1
1-2Full time(half time 0-1)
New England Revolution
2-11-23-11-13-0
Stadium:
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Referee:
Rubiel Vazquez

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won62%

under 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches); 3.8 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.5 in the visitors', league average 4.4

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon66%

    Chicago Fire: scored in each of their last 20 league matches; goals at both ends in 10 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (63% of league matches)

  • Corners: Under 10.5Lost61%

    under 10.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (57% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloChicago Fire147047%50%Draw24%26%New England Revolution139329%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%60%O2.565%59%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. New England Revolution2:2Chicago FireD
  2. Chicago Fire3:2New England RevolutionW
  3. Chicago Fire0:1New England RevolutionL
  4. New England Revolution1:1Chicago FireD
  5. Chicago Fire2:2New England RevolutionD
Chicago Fire's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.4under 4.5: 62%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 4
RefereeR. Vazquez−0.2 cards vs average16 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.5total 3.4Attack/defence1.8 : 1.3total 3.1
Chicago Fire : New England Revolution
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-0—2-06%1-27%2-27%Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-08%2-02-06%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%81%81%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%74%74%
Both teams to score: yes66%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals57%63%63%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%50%50%
1 – Chicago Fire win47%50% · Elo 50%50%· Elo 50%
Over 3.5 goals43%37%37%
Under 2.5 goals35%41%41%
Both teams to score: no34%40%40%
2 – New England Revolution win29%27% · Elo 24%27%· Elo 24%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals14%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Chicago Fire attack vs New England Revolution defenceattack1567defence1512+55 pts to the attack
New England Revolution attack vs Chicago Fire defenceattack1501defence1488+13 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • New England Revolution matches average only 2.5 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Chicago Fire: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Chicago Fire matches average only 7.8 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Chicago Fire: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • New England Revolution: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Chicago Fire

New England Revolution

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Chicago Fire28146851:4048
4New England Revolution281441045:3946
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?

Chicago Fire 1-2 New England Revolution (half time 0-1).

Did the Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.

See also