New York City vs Los Angeles FC: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 19hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%50%O2.556%45%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Los Angeles FC1:0New York CityL
- Los Angeles FC1:2New York CityW
- New York City2:2Los Angeles FCD
- Los Angeles FC2:2New York CityD
New York City's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.1under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
New York City : Los Angeles FCMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%0-17%1-29%0-0—2-18%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-110%1-27%0-09%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-07%1-011%0-10-17%0-110%1-21-29%1-27%0-00-0—0-09%2-12-18%2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%77% | 77% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%60% | 60% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 60%68% | 68% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%45% | 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%55% | 55% |
| 2 – Los Angeles FC win | 40%32% · Elo 34% | 32%· Elo 34% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%50% | 50% |
| 1 – New York City win | 34%40% · Elo 38% | 40%· Elo 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%23% | 23% |
| X – draw | 26%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%30% | 30% |
Attack vs defence
New York City attack vs Los Angeles FC defenceattack1474defence1619−145 pts to the attack
Los Angeles FC attack vs New York City defenceattack1518defence1577−59 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 9.0 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.554%55%
9.542%44%
10.531%33%
11.521%25%
Each team on its own
New York Citywe expect 5.1, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 40%
Los Angeles FCwe expect 3.9, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 19.8 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.542%53%
21.535%46%
22.529%40%
23.523%35%
Each team on its own
New York Citywe expect 9.7, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 38%
Los Angeles FCwe expect 9.9, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.564%59%
3.542%39%
4.524%20%
5.512%11%
Each team on its own
New York Citywe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Los Angeles FCwe expect 1.9, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 55%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Los Angeles FC matches average 12.1 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Los Angeles FC: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- New York City: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- New York City played 3 days ago
- Los Angeles FC played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | New York CityEastern Conference | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FCWestern Conference | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 42 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win New York City vs Los Angeles FC?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: New York City win 34%, draw 26%, Los Angeles FC win 40%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in New York City vs Los Angeles FC?
Expected goals: 2.9 (New York City 1.4, Los Angeles FC 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 56%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in New York City vs Los Angeles FC?
The chance that both teams score is 60%.
When is New York City vs Los Angeles FC?
The MLS match kicks off 18 October 2026, 00:30 (UK time).