MLS

Chicago Fire 2-1 New York City: prediction, tips and result

·

Chicago Fire
1-11-20-31-03-1
2-1Full time(half time 0-1)
New York City
2-20-12-01-20-0
Stadium:
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Referee:
Brandon Stevis

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won62%

8.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.6 in the visitors', league average 10.0

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon63%

    goals at both ends in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (64% of league matches)

  • Offsides – Chicago Fire: Over 1.5Won55%

    Chicago Fire: over 1.5 offsides in 6 of their last 10 league matches, New York City's opponents were caught offside over 1.5 times in 8 of 10 (45% of league matches); our numbers for Chicago Fire: 1.9 offsides against a league average of 1.6

For the brave
Corners: Under 8.5Won38%

8.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.6 in the visitors', league average 10.0

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloChicago Fire147049%45%Draw25%27%New York City144527%28%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%57%O2.562%54%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. New York City3:1Chicago FireL
  2. Chicago Fire1:3New York CityL
  3. New York City3:1Chicago FireL
  4. New York City2:2Chicago FireD
  5. Chicago Fire0:0New York CityD
Chicago Fire's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.0under 10.5: 62%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 4.2under 4.5: 66%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 3
RefereeB. Stevis−3.1 yellow cards vs average2 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%O2.51:1coverageleague 71% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.3total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Chicago Fire : New York City
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-07%2-07%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%78%78%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes63%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals62%54%54%
Under 3.5 goals60%68%68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat52%52%52%
1 – Chicago Fire win49%48% · Elo 45%48%· Elo 45%
Over 3.5 goals40%32%32%
Under 2.5 goals38%46%46%
Both teams to score: no37%43%43%
2 – New York City win27%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals16%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Chicago Fire attack vs New York City defenceattack1569defence1572−3 pts to the attack
New York City attack vs Chicago Fire defenceattack1480defence1507−27 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 9.1 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.555%53%
9.543%42%
10.532%32%
11.522%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Chicago Firewe expect 5.2, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 42%
New York Citywe expect 3.9, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 36%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 23.0 in this match, 21.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.565%52%
21.558%45%
22.551%39%
23.544%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Chicago Firewe expect 11.9, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 62%
New York Citywe expect 10.4, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Referee: 28.5 fouls per match on average (2 matches in our data)+6.6 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.565%59%
3.543%39%
4.525%20%
5.513%10%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Chicago Firewe expect 1.9, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 55%
New York Citywe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 44%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • New York City: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Chicago Fire: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • New York City: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Chicago Fire

New York City

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Chicago Fire28146851:4048
10New York City28891142:3833
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Chicago Fire vs New York City?

Chicago Fire 2-1 New York City (half time 0-1).

Did the Chicago Fire vs New York City tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.

See also