Brooklyn FC vs Birmingham Legion FC: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 7d 20hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%O2.560%56%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3
H2Hlast meeting
- Birmingham Legion FC4:0Brooklyn FCL
Brooklyn FC's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss4.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners9.1league 9.2under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.2under 4.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.4 : 1.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Brooklyn FC : Birmingham Legion FCMost likely scores
Model1-111%2-18%1-29%1-0—0-17%2-0—2-26%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%0-17%2-07%2-2—
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-17%0-17%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-26%2-2—
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%57% | 57% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%56% | 56% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 56%68% | 68% |
| 2 – Birmingham Legion FC win | 44%32% · Elo 29% | 32%· Elo 29% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%33% | 33% |
| 1 – Brooklyn FC win | 32%43% · Elo 44% | 43%· Elo 44% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Brooklyn FC attack vs Birmingham Legion FC defenceattack1469defence1412+57 pts to the attack
Birmingham Legion FC attack vs Brooklyn FC defenceattack1489defence1401+88 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 47%
We expect 8.5 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.560%51%
8.547%34%
9.535%28%
10.524%24%
Each team on its own
Brooklyn FCwe expect 4.5, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 4.1, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 58%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 23.5 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.562%63%
22.555%52%
23.548%46%
24.541%41%
Each team on its own
Brooklyn FCwe expect 12.2, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 55%
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 11.4, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 74%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 26%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.590%70%
2.574%55%
3.555%39%
4.536%17%
Each team on its own
Brooklyn FCwe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 2.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 72%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Brooklyn FC concede 2.3 goals per game
- Birmingham Legion FC concede 2.2 goals per game
- Birmingham Legion FC: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Brooklyn FC: no win in 7 matches
- Brooklyn FC: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Brooklyn FC: newly promoted
- Brooklyn FC: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Birmingham Legion FC: 3 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Brooklyn FC vs Birmingham Legion FC?
Birmingham Legion FC are the favourites. Chances: Brooklyn FC win 32%, draw 24%, Birmingham Legion FC win 44%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Brooklyn FC vs Birmingham Legion FC?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Brooklyn FC 1.4, Birmingham Legion FC 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 60%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Brooklyn FC vs Birmingham Legion FC?
The USL Championship match kicks off 21 October 2026, 23:30 (UK time).