Sporting Jax vs Birmingham Legion FC: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 17h 19mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%63%O2.567%61%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.6
H2Hlast meeting
- Birmingham Legion FC2:3Sporting JaxW
Sporting Jax's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses5.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners9.4league 9.2under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.2under 4.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 2.0total 3.4Attack/defence1.6 : 1.6total 3.1
Sporting Jax : Birmingham Legion FCMost likely scores
Market1-110%1-29%2-17%2-27%1-0—0-1—0-26%Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-19%2-27%1-07%0-16%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-17%2-19%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%0-10-1—0-16%0-20-26%0-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 74%61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66%63% | 63% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55%62% | 62% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 51%63% | 63% |
| 2 – Birmingham Legion FC win | 50%37% · Elo 34% | 37%· Elo 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45%38% | 38% |
| Both teams to score: no | 34%37% | 37% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33%39% | 39% |
| 1 – Sporting Jax win | 27%39% · Elo 38% | 39%· Elo 38% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 28% | 24%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Sporting Jax attack vs Birmingham Legion FC defenceattack1469defence1412+57 pts to the attack
Birmingham Legion FC attack vs Sporting Jax defenceattack1489defence1314+175 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 9.4 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.571%51%
8.559%34%
9.546%28%
10.535%24%
Each team on its own
Sporting Jaxwe expect 4.8, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 5.2, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 74%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 22.0 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.552%63%
22.545%52%
23.538%46%
24.532%41%
Each team on its own
Sporting Jaxwe expect 11.6, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 49%
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 10.3, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 35%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 76%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 24%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.590%70%
2.576%55%
3.556%39%
4.537%17%
Each team on its own
Sporting Jaxwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 2.7, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 73%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sporting Jax concede 2.9 goals per game
- Birmingham Legion FC concede 2.2 goals per game
- Birmingham Legion FC: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Sporting Jax: 4 defeats in a row
- Sporting Jax: newly promoted
- Sporting Jax: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Birmingham Legion FC: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sporting Jax vs Birmingham Legion FC?
Birmingham Legion FC are the favourites. Chances: Sporting Jax win 27%, draw 24%, Birmingham Legion FC win 50%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Jax vs Birmingham Legion FC?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Sporting Jax 1.4, Birmingham Legion FC 2.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 67%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Sporting Jax vs Birmingham Legion FC?
The chance that both teams score is 66%.
When is Sporting Jax vs Birmingham Legion FC?
The USL Championship match kicks off 15 October 2026, 00:00 (UK time).