Birmingham Legion FC vs Loudoun United FC: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%58%O2.565%55%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Birmingham Legion FC1:1Loudoun United FCD
- Loudoun United FC2:2Birmingham Legion FCD
- Loudoun United FC0:1Birmingham Legion FCW
- Birmingham Legion FC1:3Loudoun United FCL
- Loudoun United FC4:2Birmingham Legion FCL
Birmingham Legion FC's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.2under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.2under 4.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.5total 3.3Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Birmingham Legion FC : Loudoun United FCMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-0—1-27%0-1—2-27%2-06%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-17%2-2—2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-0—1-09%1-21-27%1-28%0-10-1—0-17%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-06%2-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 70%68% | 68% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66%58% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65%55% | 55% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57%68% | 68% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%57% | 57% |
| 1 – Birmingham Legion FC win | 46%43% · Elo 41% | 43%· Elo 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43%32% | 32% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: no | 34%42% | 42% |
| 2 – Loudoun United FC win | 30%32% · Elo 32% | 32%· Elo 32% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Birmingham Legion FC attack vs Loudoun United FC defenceattack1489defence1443+46 pts to the attack
Loudoun United FC attack vs Birmingham Legion FC defenceattack1498defence1412+86 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%51%
8.550%34%
9.538%28%
10.527%24%
Each team on its own
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 4.6, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Loudoun United FCwe expect 4.4, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 62%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 54%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 22.2 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.553%63%
22.546%52%
23.539%46%
24.533%41%
Each team on its own
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 9.7, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 28%
Loudoun United FCwe expect 12.5, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 58%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.578%70%
2.554%55%
3.532%39%
4.517%17%
Each team on its own
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Loudoun United FCwe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Birmingham Legion FC concede 2.2 goals per game
- Birmingham Legion FC: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Birmingham Legion FC: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Loudoun United FC: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Loudoun United FC | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Birmingham Legion FC vs Loudoun United FC?
Birmingham Legion FC are the favourites. Chances: Birmingham Legion FC win 46%, draw 24%, Loudoun United FC win 30%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion FC vs Loudoun United FC?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Birmingham Legion FC 1.8, Loudoun United FC 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 65%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Birmingham Legion FC vs Loudoun United FC?
The chance that both teams score is 66%.
When is Birmingham Legion FC vs Loudoun United FC?
The USL Championship match kicks off 18 October 2026, 22:00 (UK time).
See also
- USL Championship: table, fixtures and results
- USL Championship stats: over/under, BTTS, corners and cards
- All matches that day
- The clubs' other match this season: Loudoun United FC 2-2 Birmingham Legion FC ()
- The clubs' other match this season: Birmingham Legion FC 1-1 Loudoun United FC ()
- Birmingham Legion FC: Elo rating
- Loudoun United FC: Elo rating