USL Championship

Orange County 1-2 Monterey Bay FC: prediction, tips and result

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Orange County
1-11-10-20-61-0
1-2Full time(half time 1-0)
Monterey Bay FC
2-30-11-11-11-3
Stadium:
Championship Soccer Stadium at the Orange County Great Park, Irvine, CA

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon59%

goals at both ends in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won57%

    3.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.9 in the visitors', league average 4.4

  • Shots on Target – Monterey Bay FC: Over 3.5Won60%

    Monterey Bay FC: 3.6 shots on target a match, Orange County's opponents had 6.9 on average, league average 3.5; our numbers for Monterey Bay FC: 4.2 shots on target against a league average of 3.5

  • Offsides – Orange County: Under 1.5Won69%

    Orange County: 0.5 offsides a match, Monterey Bay FC's opponents were caught offside 1.3 times on average, league average 1.6; our numbers for Orange County: 1.1 offsides against a league average of 1.6

  • Fouls – Monterey Bay FC: Over 11.5Won64%

    Monterey Bay FC: over 11.5 fouls in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Orange County's opponents committed over 11.5 in 7 of 10 (54% of league matches); 12.7 fouls a match, Orange County's opponents committed 13.0 on average, league average 11.5

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloOrange County144146%58%Draw26%23%Monterey Bay FC133128%19%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%49%O2.557%46%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Monterey Bay FC1:2Orange CountyW
  2. Monterey Bay FC2:1Orange CountyL
  3. Orange County0:3Monterey Bay FCL
  4. Monterey Bay FC0:0Orange CountyD
  5. Orange County2:0Monterey Bay FCW
Orange County's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.2under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 4
Refereeno referee data
Dutching(several bets at once)70%O2.51:1coverageleague 59% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.5
Orange County : Monterey Bay FC
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%2-07%2-19%0-0—0-1—1-27%Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-010%2-19%0-08%0-17%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-08%1-012%2-02-07%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-0—0-08%0-10-1—0-17%1-21-27%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%72%72%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals66%75%75%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes59%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals57%46%46%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%49%49%
1 – Orange County win46%51% · Elo 58%51%· Elo 58%
Under 2.5 goals43%54%54%
Both teams to score: no41%51%51%
Over 3.5 goals34%25%25%
2 – Monterey Bay FC win28%23% · Elo 19%23%· Elo 19%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 23%26%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals20%28%28%
Attack vs defence
Orange County attack vs Monterey Bay FC defenceattack1471defence1420+51 pts to the attack
Monterey Bay FC attack vs Orange County defenceattack1369defence1449−80 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 48%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.561%51%
8.548%35%
9.536%29%
10.525%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Orange Countywe expect 4.5, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
Monterey Bay FCwe expect 4.2, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 59%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 23.3 in this match, 22.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.560%63%
22.553%51%
23.546%45%
24.540%40%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Orange Countywe expect 10.3, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 45%
Monterey Bay FCwe expect 13.1, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 64%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 54%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.571%71%
2.546%55%
3.524%37%
4.511%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Orange Countywe expect 1.1, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Monterey Bay FCwe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 37%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Orange County concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Monterey Bay FC concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Monterey Bay FC matches average 11.3 corners (league 9.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Monterey Bay FC: no win in 12 matches
  • Monterey Bay FC: only 3 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Orange County: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Monterey Bay FC: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Orange County

Monterey Bay FC

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Orange County28109937:4439
12Monterey Bay FC28561730:5021
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Orange County vs Monterey Bay FC?

Orange County 1-2 Monterey Bay FC (half time 1-0).

Did the Orange County vs Monterey Bay FC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.

See also