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WTA 125 CourmayeurQuarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Blinkova vs Kubka 2:0: result and our tips

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Anna BlinkovaWTA #105Elo 1788hard 1773
2:0final6:3 6:2
Martyna KubkaWTA #145Elo 1669hard 1665

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: BlinkovaWon66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Blinkova won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
1st Set Winner: KubkaLost38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kubka: 5 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Anna Blinkova66%
Martyna Kubka34%

Elo: A. Blinkova 65% · M. Kubka 35%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Blinkova43%
2:1 A. Blinkova22%
2:1 M. Kubka14%
2:0 M. Kubka21%

First set

Anna Blinkova62%
Martyna Kubka39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%70%
18.567%33%61%
19.559%41%53%
20.551%49%46%
21.546%54%41%
22.541%59%36%
23.537%63%33%

Sample: 2,259 matches

Games handicap

A. Blinkova −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Anna BlinkovaMartyna Kubka
4Aces1
3Double faults0
65%First serves in69%
79%First-serve points won46%
47%Second-serve points won43%
6/11Break points converted2/4
6/8Service games held3/9
67%Service points won45%
55%Return points won33%
66Total points won44

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. BlinkovaTourM. Kubka
Service points won54%56%60%
Return points won46%44%42%
Service games held59%63%73%
Breaks of serve42%37%32%
Aces per service game0.140.43
Double faults per game0.340.22
Sets with a tie-break10%10%
Tie-breaks won10/153/4
Wins in straight sets73%46%
Matches in the sample6817

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Anna Blinkova

Martyna Kubka

Elo over the last year

Anna BlinkovaMartyna Kubka

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. BlinkovaM. Kubka
Hard court23–1856%11–665%
Clay8–947%0–0
Grass6–460%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Anna Blinkova

Martyna Kubka

See also