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WTA 125 CourmayeurRound of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Blinkova vs Zavatska 2:1: result and our tips

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Anna BlinkovaWTA #105Elo 1783hard 1768
2:1final6:3 4:6 6:3
Katarina ZavatskaWTA #242Elo 1560hard 1519

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Blinkova 14 of 20, Zavatska 15 of 20 (tour average 54%); Blinkova: 4 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Other tips

  • Set Betting: Blinkova 2-0Lost68%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Blinkova won 2-0 in 12 of the last 20 matches, Zavatska lost 0-2 in 8 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 17.5Lost39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 17.5 games in recent matches: Blinkova 9 of 20, Zavatska 9 of 20 (tour average 30%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Anna Blinkova86%
Katarina Zavatska14%

Elo: A. Blinkova 81% · K. Zavatska 19%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Blinkova68%
2:1 A. Blinkova18%
2:1 K. Zavatska7%
2:0 K. Zavatska8%

First set

Anna Blinkova80%
Katarina Zavatska20%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes25%
no75%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.0 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.582%18%87%
16.571%30%79%
17.561%39%70%
18.549%51%61%
19.542%58%53%
20.535%65%46%
21.531%69%42%

Sample: 1,069 matches

Games handicap

A. Blinkova −6.543%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 19.0out · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Anna BlinkovaKatarina Zavatska
4Aces0
1Double faults0
58%First serves in71%
59%First-serve points won49%
50%Second-serve points won39%
8/16Break points converted6/10
8/14Service games held6/14
55%Service points won46%
54%Return points won45%
95Total points won79

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. BlinkovaTourK. Zavatska
Service points won54%56%54%
Return points won46%44%46%
Service games held60%63%60%
Breaks of serve42%37%40%
Aces per service game0.140.11
Double faults per game0.350.25
Sets with a tie-break10%8%
Tie-breaks won11/162/4
Wins in straight sets76%62%
Matches in the sample6822

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Anna Blinkova

Katarina Zavatska

  • 28/10/26WLaura Mair#422WTA 125 Courmayeur · R326:3 6:4
  • 09/10/26LRenata Zarazua#97WTA 125 Suzhou · QF1:6 6:7
  • 08/10/26WDarya Khomutsianskaya#281WTA 125 Suzhou · R166:4 6:4
  • 06/10/26WYushan Shao#720WTA 125 Suzhou · R327:6 6:4
  • 05/10/26LDarya Khomutsianskaya#281WTA 125 Suzhou · Q24:6 1:6
  • 04/10/26WKristiana Sidorova#355WTA 125 Suzhou · Q16:4 6:1
  • 29/09/26LSofya Lansere#266WTA 125 Jingshan · R323:6 0:6
  • 12/09/26LLea Ma#288WTA Guadalajara · Q12:6 2:6
  • 22/05/26LLucia Bronzetti#134WTA French Open · Q36:3 6:7 0:3
  • 20/05/26WDarja Semenistaja#173WTA French Open · Q27:5 5:7 6:2

Elo over the last year

Anna BlinkovaKatarina Zavatska

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. BlinkovaK. Zavatska
Hard court23–1856%4–450%
Clay8–947%9–564%
Grass6–460%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Anna Blinkova

Katarina Zavatska

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