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WTA 125 CourmayeurSemifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Blinkova vs Noha Akugue 0:2: result and our tips

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Anna BlinkovaWTA #105Elo 1796hard 1782
0:2final4:6 3:6
Noma Noha AkugueWTA #118Elo 1652hard 1644

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Noha Akugue: 9 matches in a row under 22.5 games; Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Blinkova 16 of 20, Noha Akugue 15 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won65%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Noha Akugue: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Blinkova 16 of 20, Noha Akugue 15 of 20 (tour average 67%)

  • Match Winner: BlinkovaLost68%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 68%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Blinkova won 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won42%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Blinkova 13 of 20, Noha Akugue 10 of 20 (tour average 47%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Anna Blinkova68%
Noma Noha Akugue32%

Elo: A. Blinkova 69% · N. Noha Akugue 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Blinkova45%
2:1 A. Blinkova21%
2:1 N. Noha Akugue14%
2:0 N. Noha Akugue20%

First set

Anna Blinkova63%
Noma Noha Akugue38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%70%
18.567%33%61%
19.558%42%53%
20.550%50%46%
21.544%56%41%
22.540%61%36%
23.536%64%33%

Sample: 2,106 matches

Games handicap

A. Blinkova −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Anna BlinkovaNoma Noha Akugue
0Aces7
5Double faults7
77%First serves in60%
56%First-serve points won61%
31%Second-serve points won56%
3/6Break points converted5/13
4/9Service games held7/10
50%Service points won59%
41%Return points won50%
60Total points won71

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. BlinkovaTourN. Noha Akugue
Service points won54%56%56%
Return points won46%44%45%
Service games held60%63%61%
Breaks of serve42%37%40%
Aces per service game0.150.19
Double faults per game0.340.31
Sets with a tie-break10%9%
Tie-breaks won10/157/9
Wins in straight sets73%87%
Matches in the sample6843

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Anna Blinkova

Noma Noha Akugue

  • 30/10/26WAyla Aksu#150WTA 125 Courmayeur · QF6:4 6:1
  • 28/10/26WLinda Klimovičová#256WTA 125 Courmayeur · R166:4 6:3
  • 27/10/26WDanka Kovinic#851WTA 125 Courmayeur · R327:6 6:1
  • 13/10/26LRebeka Masarova#157WTA 125 Mallorca · R324:6 3:6
  • 07/10/26LLucrezia Stefanini#117WTA 125 Samsun · R162:6 3:6
  • 06/10/26WElena Micic#289WTA 125 Samsun · R326:3 6:2
  • 05/10/26WElena Micic#289WTA 125 Samsun · Q27:5 6:3
  • 04/10/26WIlay Yoruk#739WTA 125 Samsun · Q16:1 6:4
  • 28/09/26LFiona Crawley#211WTA 125 Adana · R323:6 1:6
  • 17/09/26LMalaika Rapolu#255WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R166:4 3:6 0:6

Elo over the last year

Anna BlinkovaNoma Noha Akugue

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. BlinkovaN. Noha Akugue
Hard court23–1856%10–663%
Clay8–947%12–1250%
Grass6–460%1–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Anna Blinkova

Noma Noha Akugue