ATP Vienna500Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Cobolli vs Berrettini: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 22h 27mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Flavio Cobolli49%
Matteo Berrettini51%
Elo: F. Cobolli 58% · M. Berrettini 42%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 F. Cobolli29%
2:1 F. Cobolli20%
2:1 M. Berrettini20%
2:0 M. Berrettini31%
First set
Flavio Cobolli49%
Matteo Berrettini51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 24.0 · 49%market (no margin): 50%
The 24.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 25.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 73% | 27% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 65% | 35% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 59% | 41% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 51% | 49% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 45% | 55% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 43% | 57% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 39% | 62% | 30% |
Sample: 5,294 matches
Games handicap
M. Berrettini −0.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes52%
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Cobolli | Tour | M. Berrettini | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 68% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 34% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 86% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 17% |
| Aces per service game | 0.49 | 0.69 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.16 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 24% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 17/28 | 16/28 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 46% | 54% | |
| Matches in the sample | 58 | 44 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Flavio Cobolli
- 27/10/26WGrigor Dimitrov#124ATP Vienna · R326:4 3:6 6:3
- 24/10/26LLorenzo Musetti#26ATP Lyon · SF6:4 2:6 5:7
- 23/10/26WBrandon Nakashima#17ATP Lyon · QF4:6 6:4 6:4
- 22/10/26WStan Wawrinka#151ATP Lyon · R166:2 6:4
- 09/10/26LAdrian Mannarino#73ATP Shanghai · R641:6 6:4 3:6
- 01/10/26LRoman Safiullin#69ATP Beijing · R323:6 2:6
- 05/09/26LAlexander Blockx#27ATP US Open · R327:6 3:6 0:6 3:6
- 03/09/26WTristan Schoolkate#141ATP US Open · R643:6 6:3 6:4 7:5
- 01/09/26WFrancisco Comesana#128ATP US Open · R1283:6 2:6 6:3 6:4 6:4
- 22/08/26LArthur Fils#8ATP Cincinnati · SF3:6 4:6
Matteo Berrettini
- 26/10/26WTomás Martín Etcheverry#29ATP Vienna · R326:3 6:4
- 20/10/26LKyrian Jacquet#79ATP Lyon · R326:7 5:7
- 09/10/26LBrandon Nakashima#17ATP Shanghai · R646:7 5:7
- 07/10/26WAleksandar Kovacevic#84ATP Shanghai · R1286:7 6:1 6:4
- 03/10/26LAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Tokyo · R166:7 1:6
- 01/10/26WAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#15ATP Tokyo · R321:6 7:6 6:4
- 02/09/26LMariano Navone#43ATP US Open · R646:3 3:6 4:6 6:7
- 31/08/26WStan Wawrinka#151ATP US Open · R1287:6 7:6 6:0
- 15/08/26LJiří Lehečka#21ATP Cincinnati · R644:6 7:6 3:6
- 14/08/26WTitouan Droguet#72ATP Cincinnati · R1283:6 6:1 6:4
Elo over the last year
Flavio CobolliMatteo Berrettini
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Cobolli | M. Berrettini | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–1455% | 10–953% |
| Clay | 14–767% | 12–1055% |
| Grass | 4–267% | 2–167% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Flavio Cobolli
- 27/10/26WGrigor Dimitrov#124ATP Vienna · R326:4 3:6 6:3
Matteo Berrettini
- 26/10/26WTomás Martín Etcheverry#29ATP Vienna · R326:3 6:4