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Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Del Pino vs Couto Loureiro 2:0: result and our tips

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Mateo Del PinoElo 1376clay 1385
2:0final7:5 6:1
Joao Victor Couto LoureiroATP #864Elo 1323clay 1329

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Couto LoureiroLost72%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Del Pino lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mateo Del Pino29%
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro72%

Elo: M. Del Pino 58% · J. Couto Loureiro 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Del Pino16%
2:1 M. Del Pino14%
2:1 J. Couto Loureiro23%
2:0 J. Couto Loureiro48%

First set

Mateo Del Pino34%
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.570%30%76%
18.561%39%68%
19.554%46%59%
20.548%52%52%
21.542%58%46%
22.538%62%40%
23.535%65%36%

Sample: 3,731 matches

Games handicap

J. Couto Loureiro −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Mateo Del PinoJoao Victor Couto Loureiro
1Aces1
2Double faults2
82%First serves in61%
71%First-serve points won53%
44%Second-serve points won38%
6/11Break points converted2/3
7/9Service games held4/10
66%Service points won47%
53%Return points won34%
66Total points won46

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. Del PinoTourJ. Couto Loureiro
Service points won54%62%59%
Return points won42%38%40%
Service games held59%76%70%
Breaks of serve31%24%27%
Aces per service game0.160.38
Double faults per game0.290.40
Sets with a tie-break7%8%
Tie-breaks won1/21/3
Wins in straight sets25%83%
Matches in the sample1217

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mateo Del Pino

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

  • 01/11/26WFelipe de DiosChallenger Villa Maria · Q16:3 6:2
  • 04/10/26LLucio Ratti#371Challenger Antofagasta · Q14:6 5:7
  • 27/09/26LVictor Hugo Remondy Pagotto#780Challenger Curitiba · Q15:7 3:6
  • 02/08/26LDominik KellovskyChallenger Plovdiv 2 · Q16:1 4:6 2:6
  • 06/07/26LIgnacio Monzon#578Challenger Bogota · Q26:7 7:6 5:7
  • 05/07/26WSalvador PriceChallenger Bogota · Q16:3 6:1
  • 22/06/26LGustavo Ribeiro de Almeida#806Challenger Piracicaba · Q21:6 3:6
  • 21/06/26WJuan Bautista OteguiChallenger Piracicaba · Q16:1 5:7 6:4
  • 15/06/26LMaximo Zeitune#516Challenger Asuncion 2 · Q23:6 6:3 2:6
  • 14/06/26WTomas Martinez#793Challenger Asuncion 2 · Q16:1 7:5

Elo over the last year

Mateo Del PinoJoao Victor Couto Loureiro

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. Del PinoJ. Couto Loureiro
Clay4–833%6–1135%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mateo Del Pino

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

Upcoming matches

See also