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Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

de Dios vs Couto Loureiro 0:2: result and our tips

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Felipe de DiosElo 1323clay 1325
0:2final3:6 2:6
Joao Victor Couto LoureiroATP #864Elo 1287clay 1293

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Felipe de Dios16%
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro84%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. de Dios9%
2:1 F. de Dios8%
2:1 J. Couto Loureiro22%
2:0 J. Couto Loureiro62%

First set

Felipe de Dios24%
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro77%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.580%20%84%
17.571%29%76%
18.560%40%68%
19.551%49%59%
20.544%56%52%
21.540%60%47%
22.534%66%40%

Sample: 2,005 matches

Games handicap

J. Couto Loureiro −5.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 19.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Felipe de DiosJoao Victor Couto Loureiro
1Aces3
1Double faults4
64%First serves in67%
64%First-serve points won88%
40%Second-serve points won50%
0/1Break points converted3/7
5/8Service games held9/9
55%Service points won76%
25%Return points won45%
43Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. de DiosTourJ. Couto Loureiro
Service points won58%62%58%
Return points won35%38%40%
Service games held69%76%69%
Breaks of serve18%24%27%
Aces per service game0.270.38
Double faults per game0.210.40
Sets with a tie-break29%8%
Tie-breaks won1/21/3
Wins in straight sets—80%
Matches in the sample316

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Felipe de Dios

  • 18/10/26LSantiago Rodriguez Taverna#423Challenger Cali · Q11:6 1:6
  • 28/06/26LLucas YunezChallenger Quito · Q11:6 2:6
  • 07/06/26LWilson Leite#695Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Q15:7 7:6 6:7

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

  • 04/10/26LLucio Ratti#371Challenger Antofagasta · Q14:6 5:7
  • 27/09/26LVictor Hugo Remondy Pagotto#780Challenger Curitiba · Q15:7 3:6
  • 02/08/26LDominik KellovskyChallenger Plovdiv 2 · Q16:1 4:6 2:6
  • 06/07/26LIgnacio Monzon#578Challenger Bogota · Q26:7 7:6 5:7
  • 05/07/26WSalvador PriceChallenger Bogota · Q16:3 6:1
  • 22/06/26LGustavo Ribeiro de Almeida#806Challenger Piracicaba · Q21:6 3:6
  • 21/06/26WJuan Bautista OteguiChallenger Piracicaba · Q16:1 5:7 6:4
  • 15/06/26LMaximo Zeitune#516Challenger Asuncion 2 · Q23:6 6:3 2:6
  • 14/06/26WTomas Martinez#793Challenger Asuncion 2 · Q16:1 7:5
  • 05/05/26LNicolas Zanellato#673Challenger Santos · Q25:7 1:6

Elo over the last year

Felipe de DiosJoao Victor Couto Loureiro

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. de DiosJ. Couto Loureiro
Clay0–30%5–1131%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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