Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Draxl vs Nesterov: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 13h 50mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Liam Draxl73%
Pyotr Nesterov27%
Elo: L. Draxl 71% · P. Nesterov 29%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Draxl51%
2:1 L. Draxl22%
2:1 P. Nesterov12%
2:0 P. Nesterov15%
First set
Liam Draxl68%
Pyotr Nesterov33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%
Total games
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 34% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 4,285 matches
Games handicap
L. Draxl −3.555%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes29%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Draxl | Tour | P. Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 29% |
| Aces per service game | 0.42 | 0.35 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.16 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/30 | 8/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 46% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 68 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Liam Draxl
- 09/11/26WDuncan Chan#465Challenger Knoxville · R326:4 6:3
- 04/11/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#207Challenger Charlottesville · R323:6 2:6
- 01/11/26LDylan Dietrich#187Challenger Sioux Falls · F6:1 3:6 4:6
- 31/10/26WSebastian Dominko#451Challenger Sioux Falls · SF6:7 7:6 6:4
- 31/10/26WDarwin Blanch#149Challenger Sioux Falls · QF6:3 3:6 6:0
- 29/10/26WDaniil Ostapenkov#508Challenger Sioux Falls · R164:5
- 27/10/26WTomasz Berkieta#644Challenger Sioux Falls · R327:6 7:6
- 17/10/26LMartin Landaluce#71Challenger Jinan · SF6:7 3:6
- 16/10/26WTomáš Macháč#60Challenger Jinan · QF6:4 3:6 6:4
- 15/10/26WIlya Ivashka#223Challenger Jinan · R166:4 0:6 6:4
Pyotr Nesterov
- 10/11/26WTimo Legout#341Challenger Knoxville · R326:2 2:6 6:4
- 03/11/26LAidan Mayo#235Challenger Charlottesville · R325:7 2:6
- 11/10/26LChristian Langmo#528Challenger Olbia · Q12:6 1:6
- 08/10/26LPablo Llamas Ruiz#142Challenger Villena · R166:3 6:7 3:6
- 06/10/26WCarles Hernandez#752Challenger Villena · R326:3 7:6
- 05/10/26WHynek Barton#277Challenger Villena · Q23:6 6:4 6:1
- 04/10/26WCharles ChenChallenger Villena · Q13:6 6:3 6:2
- 29/09/26LGoncalo Marques#579Challenger Porto 2 · R325:7 6:1 4:6
- 28/09/26WMarko ToPo#350Challenger Porto 2 · Q26:4 6:2
- 27/09/26WGiorgio Tabacco#617Challenger Porto 2 · Q16:4 4:6 6:3
Elo over the last year
Liam DraxlPyotr Nesterov
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Draxl | P. Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 34–2063% | 13–862% |
| Clay | 7–654% | 15–1060% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Liam Draxl
- 09/11/26WDuncan Chan#465Challenger Knoxville · R326:4 6:3
Pyotr Nesterov
- 10/11/26WTimo Legout#341Challenger Knoxville · R326:2 2:6 6:4
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