Nesterov vs Legout: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Nesterov lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches, Legout won the first set in 16 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: Legout75%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Legout won 7 of the last 10 matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: P. Nesterov 27% · T. Legout 73%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 75% | 25% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 58% | 42% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 51% | 49% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 45% | 55% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 39% | 61% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 35% | 65% | 37% |
Sample: 4,038 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| P. Nesterov | Tour | T. Legout | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 44% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 29% | 24% | 37% |
| Aces per service game | 0.34 | 0.14 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.16 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/14 | 2/5 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 86% | |
| Matches in the sample | 45 | 29 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Pyotr Nesterov
- 03/11/26LAidan Mayo#235Challenger Charlottesville · R325:7 2:6
- 11/10/26LChristian Langmo#528Challenger Olbia · Q12:6 1:6
- 08/10/26LPablo Llamas Ruiz#142Challenger Villena · R166:3 6:7 3:6
- 06/10/26WCarles Hernandez#752Challenger Villena · R326:3 7:6
- 05/10/26WHynek Barton#277Challenger Villena · Q23:6 6:4 6:1
- 04/10/26WCharles ChenChallenger Villena · Q13:6 6:3 6:2
- 29/09/26LGoncalo Marques#579Challenger Porto 2 · R325:7 6:1 4:6
- 28/09/26WMarko ToPo#350Challenger Porto 2 · Q26:4 6:2
- 27/09/26WGiorgio Tabacco#617Challenger Porto 2 · Q16:4 4:6 6:3
- 22/09/26LCarlos Taberner#456Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R324:6 6:1 0:6
Timo Legout
- 09/11/26WEmile Hudd#460Challenger Knoxville · Q26:2 6:3
- 08/11/26WColin Sinclair#479Challenger Knoxville · Q16:2 6:2
- 27/10/26LValentin Royer#119Challenger Sioux Falls · R323:6 6:7
- 26/10/26WAndrew Fenty#478Challenger Sioux Falls · Q26:3 2:6 6:3
- 25/10/26WDaniel de Jonge#564Challenger Sioux Falls · Q17:6 6:2
- 21/10/26LJenson Brooksby#93Challenger Fort Worth · R162:6 4:6
- 19/10/26WEdward Winter#404Challenger Fort Worth · R326:3 6:1
- 26/09/26LIgor Marcondes#285Challenger San Diego 2 · SF7:6 5:7 5:7
- 25/09/26WTristan Boyer#208Challenger San Diego 2 · QF2:6 7:5 7:5
- 24/09/26WColton Smith#220Challenger San Diego 2 · R166:3 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| P. Nesterov | T. Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–860% | 21–872% |
| Clay | 15–1060% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Pyotr Nesterov
First match in this tournament.
Timo Legout
- 08/11/26WColin Sinclair#479Challenger Knoxville · Q16:2 6:2
- 09/11/26WEmile Hudd#460Challenger Knoxville · Q26:2 6:3
Upcoming matches
- Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet, · Challenger Knoxville
- Daniel Milavsky vs Murphy Cassone, · Challenger Knoxville
- Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Kozlov, · Challenger Knoxville
- Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Niels McDonald, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Joel Schwaerzler vs Kaichi Uchida, · Challenger Matsuyama
- August Holmgren vs Christopher O'Connell, · Challenger Brisbane 3