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WTA 125 CuritibaQuarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Jones vs Leme Da Silva 0:1: result and our tips

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Francesca JonesWTA #98Elo 1784clay 1789
0:1retired5:7
Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da SilvaWTA #460Elo 1596clay 1573

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.560%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Jones 16 of 20, Leme Da Silva 4 of 5 (tour average 59%)

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: Jones70%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Jones won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Leme Da Silva lost the first set in 3 of the last 5 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Francesca Jones73%
Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva27%

Elo: F. Jones 78% · N. Leme Da Silva 22%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Jones50%
2:1 F. Jones22%
2:1 N. Leme Da Silva13%
2:0 N. Leme Da Silva15%

First set

Francesca Jones65%
Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.572%28%68%
18.564%36%59%
19.555%45%52%
20.548%52%45%
21.545%55%41%
22.540%60%37%
23.536%65%33%

Sample: 1,234 matches

Games handicap

F. Jones −4.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes20%

tour average 20%

Match stats

Francesca JonesNauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva
3Aces1
4Double faults2
63%First serves in65%
67%First-serve points won41%
6%Second-serve points won65%
3/8Break points converted4/9
2/6Service games held3/6
44%Service points won49%
51%Return points won56%
44Total points won48

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. JonesTourN. Leme Da Silva
Service points won56%56%53%
Return points won46%44%45%
Service games held64%63%56%
Breaks of serve40%37%39%
Aces per service game0.170.18
Double faults per game0.360.49
Sets with a tie-break9%0%
Tie-breaks won5/110/0
Wins in straight sets55%33%
Matches in the sample525

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Francesca Jones

  • 29/10/26WMarjorie Souza#645WTA 125 Curitiba · R166:4 6:3
  • 27/10/26WMaria Florencia Urrutia#439WTA 125 Curitiba · R327:5 6:1
  • 16/10/26LDalma Galfi#155WTA 125 Lisbon · QF2:6 4:6
  • 15/10/26WFrancisca Jorge#239WTA 125 Lisbon · R166:3 6:4
  • 13/10/26WMartina Colmegna#396WTA 125 Lisbon · R327:5 6:1
  • 16/09/26LMona Barthel#193WTA 125 Ljubljana · R160:6 4:6
  • 15/09/26WAlja Senica#633WTA 125 Ljubljana · R325:7 6:3 6:3
  • 10/09/26LRositsa Dencheva#198WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R166:7 7:5 4:6
  • 08/09/26WRaluca Georgiana Serban#385WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R326:4 6:3
  • 03/09/26LIva Jovic#13WTA US Open · R644:6 4:6

Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva

Elo over the last year

Francesca JonesNauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. JonesN. Leme Da Silva
Hard court7–654%1–150%
Clay24–1169%2–167%
Grass0–40%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Francesca Jones

Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva

Upcoming matches

See also