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Challenger MonastirChallenger 50Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Malige vs Perego 2:0: result and our tips

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Mae MaligeATP #838Elo 1408hard 1410
2:0final6:2 6:1
Giulio PeregoATP #827Elo 1402hard 1425

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mae Malige58%
Giulio Perego42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Malige38%
2:1 M. Malige21%
2:1 G. Perego17%
2:0 G. Perego25%

First set

Mae Malige56%
Giulio Perego44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 6,083 matches

Games handicap

M. Malige −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Mae MaligeGiulio Perego
2Aces3
—Double faults—
63%First serves in65%
79%First-serve points won50%
65%Second-serve points won47%
4/6Break points converted0/0
8/8Service games held3/7
74%Service points won49%
51%Return points won26%
59Total points won36

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. MaligeTourG. Perego
Service points won55%62%60%
Return points won37%38%35%
Service games held61%76%72%
Breaks of serve23%24%19%
Aces per service game0.250.43
Double faults per game0.290.24
Sets with a tie-break19%22%
Tie-breaks won1/41/2
Wins in straight sets—0%
Matches in the sample94

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mae Malige

  • 08/09/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#187Challenger Cassis · R320:6 1:6
  • 12/07/26LSamuel Alejandro Linde Palacios#862Challenger Pozoblanco · Q14:6 4:6
  • 07/06/26LMatteo Martineau#244Challenger Lyon · Q16:2 2:6 4:6
  • 03/03/26LJan Choinski#113Challenger Thionville · R326:7 1:6
  • 02/02/26LTibo Colson#546Challenger Koblenz · R326:7 6:2 4:6
  • 26/01/26LMarvin Moeller#227Challenger Quimper · Q12:6 4:6
  • 11/01/26LAndrea Guerrieri#166Challenger Glasgow · Q16:7 3:6
  • 05/01/26LMikhail Kukushkin#345Challenger Nottingham · R323:6 0:6
  • 09/11/25LDan Added#426Challenger Lyon (Decines-Charpieu) · Q17:6 3:6 1:6
  • 22/10/25LClement Tabur#156Challenger Brest · R160:6 3:6

Giulio Perego

  • 24/08/26LFabrizio Andaloro#778Challenger Roehampton 2 · Q23:6 6:7
  • 23/08/26WArvid Nordquist#657Challenger Roehampton 2 · Q17:6 4:6 6:4
  • 16/08/26LFilip Peliwo#600Challenger Roehampton · Q14:6 2:6
  • 14/06/26LOriol Roca Batalla#290Challenger Parma · Q13:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Mae MaligeGiulio Perego

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. MaligeG. Perego
Hard court0–80%1–233%
Clay0–10%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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