ATP Vienna500Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Menšík vs Mannarino: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1h 16mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Jakub Menšík82%
Adrian Mannarino18%
Elo: J. Menšík 75% · A. Mannarino 25%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Menšík60%
2:1 J. Menšík21%
2:1 A. Mannarino9%
2:0 A. Mannarino10%
First set
Jakub Menšík75%
Adrian Mannarino25%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 76% | 24% | 76% |
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 50% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 33% | 67% | 38% |
Sample: 2,623 matches
Games handicap
J. Menšík −4.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes40%
tour average 38%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Menšík | Tour | A. Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 84% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.80 | 0.40 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 18/28 | 14/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 46% | |
| Matches in the sample | 51 | 60 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jakub Menšík
- 26/10/26WLukas Neumayer#168ATP Vienna · R326:2 6:2
- 13/10/26LArthur Gea#44ATP Shanghai · R166:7 4:6
- 11/10/26WFrancisco Cerúndolo#19ATP Shanghai · R326:3 3:6 6:2
- 09/10/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#58ATP Shanghai · R646:3 6:3
- 03/10/26LFrancisco Cerúndolo#19ATP Beijing · R163:6 3:6
- 01/10/26WAlexander Bublik#20ATP Beijing · R326:4 7:6
- 06/09/26LLearner Tien#18ATP US Open · R323:6 6:1 7:6 3:6 4:6
- 03/09/26WJurij Rodionov#137ATP US Open · R646:3 3:6 6:2 6:3
- 31/08/26WShintaro Mochizuki#129ATP US Open · R1286:1 6:4 7:5
- 19/08/26LThiago Agustin Tirante#51ATP Cincinnati · R167:5 4:6 4:6
Adrian Mannarino
- 27/10/26WIgnacio Buse#32ATP Vienna · R320:6 7:5 6:4
- 25/10/26WAlex Molcan#80ATP Vienna · Q27:5 6:2
- 24/10/26WThiago Agustin Tirante#51ATP Vienna · Q16:4 7:6
- 23/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#95ATP Almaty · QF3:6 1:6
- 21/10/26WAndrey Rublev#22ATP Almaty · R166:4 3:6 6:3
- 19/10/26WAleksandar Vukic#116ATP Almaty · R327:6 4:6 6:3
- 11/10/26LKaren Khachanov#24ATP Shanghai · R322:6 4:6
- 09/10/26WFlavio Cobolli#6ATP Shanghai · R646:1 4:6 6:3
- 07/10/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#95ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 2:2
- 29/09/26LPablo Carreno Busta#74ATP Beijing · Q23:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Jakub MenšíkAdrian Mannarino
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Menšík | A. Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 26–1072% | 20–2149% |
| Clay | 8–467% | 0–80% |
| Grass | 1–233% | 6–555% |
Head to head
J. Menšík 0–1 A. Mannarino
- 16/06/26Winner: A. Mannarino7:5 6:7 6:7
Road through the tournament
Jakub Menšík
- 26/10/26WLukas Neumayer#168ATP Vienna · R326:2 6:2
Adrian Mannarino
- 24/10/26WThiago Agustin Tirante#51ATP Vienna · Q16:4 7:6
- 25/10/26WAlex Molcan#80ATP Vienna · Q27:5 6:2
- 27/10/26WIgnacio Buse#32ATP Vienna · R320:6 7:5 6:4