Challenger SydneyChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying
Moriya vs Ryan Ziegann: prediction and tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Hiroki Moriya80%
Sam Ryan Ziegann20%
Elo: H. Moriya 59% · S. Ryan Ziegann 42%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 H. Moriya59%
2:1 H. Moriya21%
2:1 S. Ryan Ziegann9%
2:0 S. Ryan Ziegann11%
First set
Hiroki Moriya74%
Sam Ryan Ziegann26%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no70%
Total games
Expected total: 21.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 74% | 26% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 65% | 35% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 56% | 44% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 48% | 52% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 42% | 58% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 36% | 64% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 32% | 68% | 37% |
Sample: 3,125 matches
Games handicap
H. Moriya −4.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| H. Moriya | Tour | S. Ryan Ziegann | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 71% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.23 | 0.52 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 5% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/26 | 1/1 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 80% | |
| Matches in the sample | 59 | 9 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Hiroki Moriya
- 10/11/26LAlex Bolt#171Challenger Brisbane 3 · R322:6 3:6
- 09/11/26WPavle Marinkov#679Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q26:4 6:4
- 08/11/26WNikolas BakerChallenger Brisbane 3 · Q16:4 6:3
- 28/10/26LMert Alkaya#319Challenger Ningbo · R163:6 6:3 4:6
- 27/10/26WJames McCabe#287Challenger Ningbo · R326:1 2:6 7:6
- 26/10/26WTimofei Derepasko#631Challenger Ningbo · Q17:6 6:2
- 25/10/26WTaisei Ichikawa#759Challenger Ningbo · Q16:4 6:4
- 18/10/26LOmar Jasika#301Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q12:6 3:6
- 07/10/26LKeisuke Saitoh#488Challenger Wuning 3 · R162:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WKeegan Smith#189Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 7:6 6:3
Sam Ryan Ziegann
- 10/11/26LCasey Hoole#636Challenger Brisbane 3 · R323:6 2:6
- 09/11/26WChase Ferguson#683Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q27:6 6:4
- 08/11/26WEthan CookChallenger Brisbane 3 · Q15:7 6:4 6:2
- 14/09/26LFilip Peliwo#618Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q21:6 4:6
- 13/09/26WThantub SuksumrarnChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:1 7:5
- 08/09/26LTimofei Derepasko#631Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R323:6 6:4 4:6
- 07/09/26WYuta Kawahashi#791Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q26:4 6:4
- 06/09/26WChristopher PapaChallenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q16:1 6:4
- 05/07/26LWilliam Jansen#974Challenger Nottingham 3 · Q11:6 2:6
- 27/01/25LJacob BrummChallenger Brisbane · Q26:4 2:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Hiroki MoriyaSam Ryan Ziegann
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| H. Moriya | S. Ryan Ziegann | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 28–2850% | 5–363% |
| Clay | 1–150% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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