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WTA WTA Tour FinalsFinalsSemifinalhardbest of three sets

Nosková vs Svitolina: prediction and tips

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Linda NoskováWTA #8Elo 2112hard 2051
-:-awaiting result
Elina SvitolinaWTA #6Elo 2117hard 2083

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Noskova56%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Noskova won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Svitolina lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Noskova61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Noskova won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Linda Nosková61%
Elina Svitolina40%

Elo: L. Nosková 45% · E. Svitolina 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Nosková37%
2:1 L. Nosková21%
2:1 E. Svitolina17%
2:0 E. Svitolina25%

First set

Linda Nosková56%
Elina Svitolina44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 48%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%62%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,513 matches

Games handicap

L. Nosková −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. NoskováTourE. Svitolina
Service points won63%56%59%
Return points won42%44%47%
Service games held79%63%72%
Breaks of serve32%37%42%
Aces per service game0.590.31
Double faults per game0.460.32
Sets with a tie-break11%10%
Tie-breaks won4/1410/16
Wins in straight sets65%54%
Matches in the sample5366

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Linda Nosková

Elina Svitolina

Elo over the last year

Linda NoskováElina Svitolina

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. NoskováE. Svitolina
Hard court19–1163%35–1176%
Clay6–460%12–380%
Grass12–192%3–260%

Head to head

L. Nosková 2–1 E. Svitolina

  • 17/04/26Winner: E. Svitolina6:7 5:7
  • 23/08/24Winner: L. Nosková6:4 6:4
  • 22/01/24Winner: L. Nosková3:0

Road through the tournament

Linda Nosková

Elina Svitolina

Upcoming matches

See also