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Pohankova vs Parks 2:0: result and our tips

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Mia PohankovaWTA #144Elo 1877hard 1879
2:0final7:6(3) 6:3
Alycia ParksWTA #65Elo 1698hard 1698

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: PohankovaWon62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Pohankova won the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Parks lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: PohankovaWon67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 67%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Pohankova won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Set Betting: Pohankova 2-0Won44%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Pohankova won 2-0 in 10 of the last 20 matches, Parks lost 0-2 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mia Pohankova67%
Alycia Parks33%

Elo: M. Pohankova 74% · A. Parks 26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Pohankova44%
2:1 M. Pohankova21%
2:1 A. Parks15%
2:0 A. Parks20%

First set

Mia Pohankova62%
Alycia Parks38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%64%
19.560%40%56%
20.553%47%49%
21.547%53%44%
22.541%59%38%
23.537%63%34%
24.535%65%32%

Sample: 2,189 matches

Games handicap

M. Pohankova −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Mia PohankovaAlycia Parks
1Aces3
3Double faults9
55%First serves in59%
72%First-serve points won79%
51%Second-serve points won39%
3/4Break points converted2/6
9/11Service games held7/10
63%Service points won63%
38%Return points won37%
70Total points won64

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. PohankovaTourA. Parks
Service points won58%56%58%
Return points won44%44%41%
Service games held69%63%68%
Breaks of serve34%37%30%
Aces per service game0.390.55
Double faults per game0.270.58
Sets with a tie-break11%10%
Tie-breaks won4/612/17
Wins in straight sets86%62%
Matches in the sample2474

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mia Pohankova

Alycia Parks

Elo over the last year

Mia PohankovaAlycia Parks

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. PohankovaA. Parks
Hard court12–571%26–2551%
Clay0–20%10–856%
Grass2–340%1–420%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mia Pohankova

Alycia Parks