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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Rehberg vs Svajda 2:1: result and our tips

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Max Hans RehbergATP #248Elo 1690hard 1692
2:1final6:4 3:6 7:5
Trevor SvajdaATP #481Elo 1553hard 1540

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Svajda: 7 matches in a row without a tie-break

Other tips

  • Match Winner: RehbergWon63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Svajda lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Max Hans Rehberg61%
Trevor Svajda39%

Elo: M. Rehberg 71% · T. Svajda 29%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Rehberg39%
2:1 M. Rehberg21%
2:1 T. Svajda16%
2:0 T. Svajda23%

First set

Max Hans Rehberg58%
Trevor Svajda42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.542%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 6,029 matches

Games handicap

M. Rehberg −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 31 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Max Hans RehbergTrevor Svajda
5Aces5
5Double faults1
60%First serves in60%
67%First-serve points won73%
58%Second-serve points won50%
4/6Break points converted3/4
12/15Service games held12/16
64%Service points won64%
36%Return points won36%
91Total points won91

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. RehbergTourT. Svajda
Service points won65%62%61%
Return points won39%38%38%
Service games held82%76%74%
Breaks of serve26%24%23%
Aces per service game0.290.29
Double faults per game0.180.22
Sets with a tie-break16%18%
Tie-breaks won7/194/10
Wins in straight sets77%67%
Matches in the sample5225

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Max Hans Rehberg

Trevor Svajda

Elo over the last year

Max Hans RehbergTrevor Svajda

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. RehbergT. Svajda
Hard court13–668%9–1636%
Clay17–1652%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.