Skip to content
Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Rehberg vs Dominko 0:2: result and our tips

·

Max Hans RehbergATP #248Elo 1711hard 1716
0:2final6:7(4) 4:6
Sebastian DominkoATP #456Elo 1619hard 1656

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won66%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 66%

Dominko: 4 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 26.5Lost35%

Where the number comes from: market alone 31% → with the players' profiles 35%

Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Rehberg 9 of 20, Dominko 1 of 5 (tour average 27%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Max Hans Rehberg57%
Sebastian Dominko43%

Elo: M. Rehberg 59% · S. Dominko 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Rehberg37%
2:1 M. Rehberg21%
2:1 S. Dominko17%
2:0 S. Dominko26%

First set

Max Hans Rehberg56%
Sebastian Dominko45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.574%26%62%
20.566%34%54%
21.559%42%49%
22.553%47%42%
23.546%54%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.539%61%32%

Sample: 5,883 matches

Games handicap

M. Rehberg −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes45%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Max Hans RehbergSebastian Dominko
0Aces10
2Double faults3
63%First serves in57%
63%First-serve points won87%
58%Second-serve points won47%
1/4Break points converted2/9
9/11Service games held10/11
61%Service points won70%
30%Return points won39%
76Total points won83

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. RehbergTourS. Dominko
Service points won65%62%68%
Return points won39%38%36%
Service games held82%76%86%
Breaks of serve26%24%18%
Aces per service game0.290.86
Double faults per game0.180.40
Sets with a tie-break15%18%
Tie-breaks won7/181/2
Wins in straight sets77%75%
Matches in the sample515

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Max Hans Rehberg

  • 29/10/26WStefan Kozlov#271Challenger Sioux Falls · R167:5 6:4
  • 27/10/26WBraden Shick#205Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:3 6:3
  • 19/10/26LMees Rottgering#295Challenger Fort Worth · R322:6 1:6
  • 08/10/26LHynek Barton#277Challenger Villena · R161:6 7:6 6:7
  • 07/10/26WEdas Butvilas#209Challenger Villena · R321:6 6:4 7:5
  • 05/10/26WMili Poljicak#276Challenger Villena · Q25:7 6:3 6:3
  • 04/10/26WDaniel CukiermanChallenger Villena · Q16:7 6:3 6:3
  • 08/09/26LThiago Monteiro#233Challenger Tulln · R327:6 3:6 6:7
  • 25/08/26LFacundo Mena#196Challenger Augsburg · R324:6 4:6
  • 20/08/26LFilip Cristian Jianu#291Challenger Prague · QF3:6 4:6

Sebastian Dominko

  • 29/10/26WValentin Royer#120Challenger Sioux Falls · R167:5 7:5
  • 27/10/26WKarl Poling#453Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:4 7:6
  • 26/10/26WBenjamin Willwerth#779Challenger Sioux Falls · Q27:5 6:3
  • 25/10/26WJustin Boulais#439Challenger Sioux Falls · Q15:7 6:3 6:4
  • 11/10/26LDaniel Masur#365Challenger Olbia · Q16:7 1:6
  • 16/09/25LAndre Ilagan#200Challenger Columbus · R323:6 6:3 4:6
  • 15/09/25WDaniel Milavsky#307Challenger Columbus · Q26:1 6:3
  • 14/09/25WEdward Winter#404Challenger Columbus · Q13:6 6:4 6:4
  • 10/08/25LGabriele Bosio#636Challenger Todi · Q16:3 3:6 4:6
  • 03/08/25LMax Alcala Gurri#130Challenger Cordenons · Q14:6 2:6

Elo over the last year

Max Hans RehbergSebastian Dominko

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. RehbergS. Dominko
Hard court13–572%4–180%
Clay17–1652%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Max Hans Rehberg

Sebastian Dominko

Upcoming matches