Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Round of 16claybest of three sets
Ratti vs Zarate: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 10mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Lucio Ratti44%
Carlos Maria Zarate56%
Elo: L. Ratti 36% · C. Zarate 64%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Ratti25%
2:1 L. Ratti18%
2:1 C. Zarate21%
2:0 C. Zarate36%
First set
Lucio Ratti45%
Carlos Maria Zarate55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 53%market (no margin): 52%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 4,798 matches
Games handicap
C. Zarate −1.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Ratti | Tour | C. Zarate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 33% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.22 | 0.29 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/10 | 9/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 65% | |
| Matches in the sample | 43 | 34 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Lucio Ratti
- 02/11/26WMaximo Zeitune#516Challenger Villa Maria · R326:4 4:6 6:3
- 26/10/26LMateo Del PinoChallenger Guayaquil · Q25:7 6:2 5:7
- 25/10/26WAlessandro RubiniChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:3 6:4
- 13/10/26LGenaro Alberto Olivieri#257Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R324:6 6:4 2:6
- 12/10/26WFederico ZeballosChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q24:6 6:3 6:0
- 05/10/26LMaximo Zeitune#516Challenger Antofagasta · Q21:6 6:4 2:6
- 04/10/26WJoao Victor Couto Loureiro#864Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:4 7:5
- 22/09/26LFederico Coria#831Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R327:6 3:6 5:7
- 06/09/26LLukas Pokorny#504Challenger Tulln · Q11:6 7:5 4:6
- 19/08/26LDominic Stricker#253Challenger Sion · R164:6 4:6
Carlos Maria Zarate
- 02/11/26WGonzalo Villanueva#325Challenger Villa Maria · R326:3 7:6
- 30/10/26LHugo Dellien#107Challenger Guayaquil · QF0:6 2:6
- 29/10/26WGonzalo Bueno#198Challenger Guayaquil · R163:6 7:5 7:5
- 28/10/26WAlan Magadan#496Challenger Guayaquil · R327:5 6:1
- 23/10/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#348Challenger Cali · QF2:6 6:3 5:7
- 22/10/26WFrancisco Comesana#135Challenger Cali · R162:6 7:6 0:0
- 20/10/26WFranco Ribero#683Challenger Cali · R326:1 6:3
- 15/10/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#110Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R162:6 2:6
- 14/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#325Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:3 5:7 6:4
- 29/09/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#348Challenger Curitiba · R324:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Lucio RattiCarlos Maria Zarate
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Ratti | C. Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–350% | 1–150% |
| Clay | 19–1851% | 16–1650% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Lucio Ratti
- 02/11/26WMaximo Zeitune#516Challenger Villa Maria · R326:4 4:6 6:3
Carlos Maria Zarate
- 02/11/26WGonzalo Villanueva#325Challenger Villa Maria · R326:3 7:6