Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets
Zarate vs Villanueva 2:0: result and our tips
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2:0final6:3 7:6(5)
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Carlos Maria Zarate40%
Gonzalo Villanueva60%
Elo: C. Zarate 42% · G. Villanueva 58%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 C. Zarate23%
2:1 C. Zarate17%
2:1 G. Villanueva22%
2:0 G. Villanueva39%
First set
Carlos Maria Zarate42%
Gonzalo Villanueva58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 49%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 75% | 25% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 46% | 54% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 59% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
Sample: 4,946 matches
Games handicap
G. Villanueva −2.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes22%
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:0
- Total games Under 21.5out · 22 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Gonzalo Villanueva | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 0 |
| 2 | Double faults | 2 |
| 68% | First serves in | 70% |
| 70% | First-serve points won | 59% |
| 50% | Second-serve points won | 58% |
| 3/5 | Break points converted | 2/7 |
| 9/11 | Service games held | 7/10 |
| 64% | Service points won | 59% |
| 41% | Return points won | 37% |
| 73 | Total points won | 64 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Zarate | Tour | G. Villanueva | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 69% | 76% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 33% |
| Aces per service game | 0.29 | 0.22 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/9 | 6/12 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | 33 | 56 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Carlos Maria Zarate
- 30/10/26LHugo Dellien#107Challenger Guayaquil · QF0:6 2:6
- 29/10/26WGonzalo Bueno#198Challenger Guayaquil · R163:6 7:5 7:5
- 28/10/26WAlan Magadan#496Challenger Guayaquil · R327:5 6:1
- 23/10/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#348Challenger Cali · QF2:6 6:3 5:7
- 22/10/26WFrancisco Comesana#135Challenger Cali · R162:6 7:6 0:0
- 20/10/26WFranco Ribero#683Challenger Cali · R326:1 6:3
- 15/10/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#110Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R162:6 2:6
- 14/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#325Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:3 5:7 6:4
- 29/09/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#348Challenger Curitiba · R324:6 2:6
- 22/09/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R322:6 1:6
Gonzalo Villanueva
- 27/10/26LLautaro Midon#185Challenger Guayaquil · R323:6 3:6
- 21/10/26LMiguel Tobon#432Challenger Cali · R321:6 6:2 4:6
- 14/10/26LCarlos Maria Zarate#341Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R323:6 7:5 4:6
- 05/10/26LNick Hardt#296Challenger Antofagasta · R325:7 6:3 5:7
- 02/10/26LGuido Ivan Justo#186Challenger Curitiba · QF2:6 4:6
- 01/10/26WMateus Alves#413Challenger Curitiba · R166:2 6:3
- 29/09/26WJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#193Challenger Curitiba · R323:6 6:3 6:4
- 21/09/26LGuido Ivan Justo#186Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R324:6 6:3 1:6
- 23/07/26LMatteo Martineau#244Challenger Segovia · R163:6 6:7
- 21/07/26WIlya Ivashka#223Challenger Segovia · R326:3 6:3
Elo over the last year
Carlos Maria ZarateGonzalo Villanueva
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Zarate | G. Villanueva | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–150% | 2–250% |
| Clay | 15–1648% | 27–2552% |
Head to head
C. Zarate 1–0 G. Villanueva
- 14/10/26Winner: C. Zarate6:3 5:7 6:4
Upcoming matches
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