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WTA TokyoWTA 500Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Rybakina vs Putintseva: prediction and tips

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Elena RybakinaWTA #1Elo 2238hard 2252
-:-
Yulia PutintsevaWTA #67Elo 1846hard 1837

Our tips

Tip in 18h 26m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Elena Rybakina89%
Yulia Putintseva11%

Elo: E. Rybakina 92% · Y. Putintseva 8%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Rybakina71%
2:1 E. Rybakina19%
2:1 Y. Putintseva5%
2:0 Y. Putintseva6%

First set

Elena Rybakina82%
Yulia Putintseva18%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes24%
no76%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.582%18%90%
16.571%30%82%
17.561%39%72%
18.550%50%63%
19.542%58%55%
20.535%65%49%
21.531%69%44%

Sample: 943 matches

Games handicap

E. Rybakina −6.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 22%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. RybakinaTourY. Putintseva
Service points won64%56%57%
Return points won43%44%46%
Service games held82%63%64%
Breaks of serve33%37%41%
Aces per service game0.560.13
Double faults per game0.270.19
Sets with a tie-break8%10%
Tie-breaks won8/147/13
Wins in straight sets64%70%
Matches in the sample7257

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Elena Rybakina

Yulia Putintseva

Elo over the last year

Elena RybakinaYulia Putintseva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. RybakinaY. Putintseva
Hard court45–885%21–1460%
Clay10–377%12–860%
Grass3–350%0–20%

Head to head

E. Rybakina 2–2 Y. Putintseva

  • 21/03/26Winner: E. Rybakina6:3 6:3
  • 01/05/24Winner: E. Rybakina4:6 7:6 7:5
  • 09/10/21Winner: Y. Putintseva2:6 6:7
  • 18/09/20Winner: Y. Putintseva6:4 6:7 2:6

Road through the tournament

Elena Rybakina

First match in this tournament.

Yulia Putintseva