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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Sachko vs Virtanen: prediction and tips

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Vitaliy SachkoATP #175Elo 1743hard 1697
-:-awaiting result
Otto VirtanenATP #116Elo 1808hard 1785

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.566%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 25.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.565%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Virtanen: 5 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Vitaliy Sachko31%
Otto Virtanen69%

Elo: V. Sachko 38% · O. Virtanen 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Sachko18%
2:1 V. Sachko14%
2:1 O. Virtanen22%
2:0 O. Virtanen46%

First set

Vitaliy Sachko36%
Otto Virtanen64%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.538%62%35%
25.535%65%32%

Sample: 5,088 matches

Games handicap

O. Virtanen −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes37%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. SachkoTourO. Virtanen
Service points won61%62%66%
Return points won40%38%36%
Service games held72%76%84%
Breaks of serve29%24%20%
Aces per service game0.370.83
Double faults per game0.200.28
Sets with a tie-break14%28%
Tie-breaks won9/1922/44
Wins in straight sets53%68%
Matches in the sample5664

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Vitaliy Sachko

Otto Virtanen

Elo over the last year

Vitaliy SachkoOtto Virtanen

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. SachkoO. Virtanen
Hard court5–936%19–1359%
Clay25–1661%7–1041%
Grass0–10%11–473%

Head to head

V. Sachko 2–1 O. Virtanen

  • 18/10/26Winner: V. Sachko6:4 6:4
  • 22/01/25Winner: V. Sachko6:1 3:6 6:3
  • 31/03/23Winner: O. Virtanen2:6 4:6