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WTA TokyoWTA 500Semifinalhardbest of three sets

Shnaider vs Pohankova 2:0: result and our tips

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Diana ShnaiderWTA #13Elo 2059hard 2037
2:0final6:4 7:6(7)
Mia PohankovaWTA #144Elo 1894hard 1897

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Shnaider: 8 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: ShnaiderWon71%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 71%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Shnaider won 8 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Diana Shnaider72%
Mia Pohankova28%

Elo: D. Shnaider 69% · M. Pohankova 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Shnaider50%
2:1 D. Shnaider21%
2:1 M. Pohankova14%
2:0 M. Pohankova16%

First set

Diana Shnaider67%
Mia Pohankova33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%72%
18.566%34%64%
19.558%42%56%
20.551%49%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.539%61%38%
23.535%65%34%

Sample: 1,866 matches

Games handicap

D. Shnaider −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Diana ShnaiderMia Pohankova
0Aces3
4Double faults2
73%First serves in68%
81%First-serve points won66%
38%Second-serve points won60%
2/6Break points converted1/6
10/11Service games held9/11
69%Service points won64%
36%Return points won31%
82Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. ShnaiderTourM. Pohankova
Service points won59%56%58%
Return points won44%44%43%
Service games held71%63%69%
Breaks of serve37%37%34%
Aces per service game0.140.36
Double faults per game0.300.26
Sets with a tie-break13%13%
Tie-breaks won10/185/7
Wins in straight sets70%86%
Matches in the sample5924

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Diana Shnaider

Mia Pohankova

Elo over the last year

Diana ShnaiderMia Pohankova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. ShnaiderM. Pohankova
Hard court26–1465%12–571%
Clay10–567%0–20%
Grass1–325%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Diana Shnaider

Mia Pohankova

See also