WTA 125 SuzhouFinalhardbest of three sets

Sramkova vs Okamura 2:0: result and our tips

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Rebecca SramkovaWTA #134Elo 1725hard 1718
2:0final6:3 6:1
Kyoka OkamuraWTA #244Elo 1714hard 1716

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: SramkovaWon66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Sramkova: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sramkova: 7 matches in a row under 23.5 games

  • Match Winner: SramkovaWon75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sramkova: 4 wins in a row

Long shot
1st Set Winner: OkamuraLost34%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Okamura: 6 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Rebecca Sramkova75%
Kyoka Okamura26%

Elo: R. Sramkova 50% · K. Okamura 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Sramkova51%
2:1 R. Sramkova20%
2:1 K. Okamura13%
2:0 K. Okamura16%

First set

Rebecca Sramkova66%
Kyoka Okamura34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%70%
18.563%37%61%
19.554%46%53%
20.547%53%46%
21.541%59%41%
22.537%63%37%
23.533%67%33%

Sample: 1,686 matches

Games handicap

Rebecca Sramkova −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Rebecca SramkovaKyoka Okamura
5Aces2
0Double faults4
67%First serves in67%
89%First-serve points won51%
77%Second-serve points won53%
4/11Break points converted0/0
8/8Service games held4/8
85%Service points won52%
48%Return points won15%
58Total points won33

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. SramkovaTourK. Okamura
Service points won57%56%58%
Return points won43%44%44%
Service games held68%63%68%
Breaks of serve35%37%36%
Aces per service game0.380.21
Double faults per game0.260.26
Sets with a tie-break5%21%
Tie-breaks won2/65/10
Wins in straight sets73%67%
Matches in the sample5021

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Rebecca Sramkova

Kyoka Okamura

Elo over the last year

Rebecca SramkovaKyoka Okamura

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. SramkovaK. Okamura
Hard court19–1753%12–957%
Clay6–650%0–0
Grass1–150%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Rebecca Sramkova

Kyoka Okamura