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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Yastremska vs Sonmez 0:2: result and our tips

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Dayana YastremskaWTA #99Elo 1802hard 1771
0:2final4:6 2:6
Zeynep SonmezWTA #67Elo 1803hard 1769

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dayana Yastremska50%
Zeynep Sonmez51%

Elo: D. Yastremska 50% · Z. Sonmez 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Yastremska31%
2:1 D. Yastremska19%
2:1 Z. Sonmez19%
2:0 Z. Sonmez31%

First set

Dayana Yastremska50%
Zeynep Sonmez50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,337 matches

Games handicap

Z. Sonmez −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Dayana YastremskaZeynep Sonmez
4Aces0
3Double faults3
88%First serves in72%
59%First-serve points won79%
38%Second-serve points won60%
0/2Break points converted3/8
6/9Service games held9/9
57%Service points won74%
26%Return points won43%
52Total points won68

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. YastremskaTourZ. Sonmez
Service points won55%56%56%
Return points won43%44%46%
Service games held62%63%64%
Breaks of serve35%37%39%
Aces per service game0.200.11
Double faults per game0.410.24
Sets with a tie-break17%9%
Tie-breaks won13/189/13
Wins in straight sets64%54%
Matches in the sample4661

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dayana Yastremska

Zeynep Sonmez

Elo over the last year

Dayana YastremskaZeynep Sonmez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. YastremskaZ. Sonmez
Hard court12–1643%20–1853%
Clay7–558%6–460%
Grass3–350%9–469%

Head to head

D. Yastremska 0–1 Z. Sonmez

  • 15/06/24Winner: Z. Sonmez6:3 4:6 1:6

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