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WTA ChennaiWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Zolotareva vs Stefanini 0:2: result and our tips

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Rada ZolotarevaWTA #328Elo 1540hard 1497
0:2final2:6 2:6
Lucrezia StefaniniWTA #117Elo 1721hard 1705

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: StefaniniWon75%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Stefanini won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Lost38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zolotareva: 3 matches in a row over 22.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Rada Zolotareva25%
Lucrezia Stefanini75%

Elo: R. Zolotareva 23% · L. Stefanini 77%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Zolotareva14%
2:1 R. Zolotareva12%
2:1 L. Stefanini21%
2:0 L. Stefanini53%

First set

Rada Zolotareva30%
Lucrezia Stefanini70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%72%
18.565%36%64%
19.557%43%56%
20.550%51%49%
21.544%56%44%
22.538%62%38%
23.534%66%34%

Sample: 1,718 matches

Games handicap

L. Stefanini −4.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.0out · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Rada ZolotarevaLucrezia Stefanini
—Aces—
1Double faults2
87%First serves in90%
38%First-serve points won61%
43%Second-serve points won80%
2/3Break points converted6/9
2/8Service games held6/8
39%Service points won63%
37%Return points won61%
40Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. ZolotarevaTourL. Stefanini
Service points won54%56%53%
Return points won48%44%48%
Service games held60%63%57%
Breaks of serve44%37%44%
Aces per service game0.140.04
Double faults per game0.300.26
Sets with a tie-break14%9%
Tie-breaks won3/34/11
Wins in straight sets50%64%
Matches in the sample953

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Rada Zolotareva

  • 01/11/26LAliona Falei#210WTA Chennai · Q24:6 6:4 5:7
  • 31/10/26WMariia Tkacheva#632WTA Chennai · Q16:1 2:1
  • 07/09/26LIpek Oz#264WTA 125 Antalya 4 · Q27:6 4:6 4:6
  • 06/09/26WAneta Laboutkova#400WTA 125 Antalya 4 · Q17:6 6:4
  • 01/05/26LHanyu Guo#213WTA 125 Huzhou · QF2:6 1:6
  • 30/04/26WXinxin Yao#257WTA 125 Huzhou · R167:6 2:6 6:3
  • 28/04/26WDespina Papamichail#209WTA 125 Huzhou · R324:6 6:1 6:2
  • 27/04/26WZhang-Qian WeiWTA 125 Huzhou · Q26:3 6:1
  • 26/04/26WQiu Yu YeWTA 125 Huzhou · Q16:3 7:5

Lucrezia Stefanini

Elo over the last year

Rada ZolotarevaLucrezia Stefanini

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. ZolotarevaL. Stefanini
Hard court1–150%23–1856%
Clay5–271%1–420%
Grass0–04–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Rada Zolotareva

Lucrezia Stefanini

First match in this tournament.