Primera LPFMatchday 12

Central Cordoba 2-2 Estudiantes L.P.: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Alfredo Terrera, Santiago del Estero
Referee:
Andres Gariano

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Shots on Target – Central Cordoba: Under 4.5Lost65%

Central Cordoba: under 4.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 league matches, Estudiantes L.P.'s opponents had under 4.5 in 8 of 10 (53% of league matches); 3.0 shots on target a match, Estudiantes L.P.'s opponents had 3.6 on average, league average 4.5

Other tips

  • Offsides – Central Cordoba: Under 1.5Lost57%

    Central Cordoba: under 1.5 offsides in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Estudiantes L.P.'s opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 6 of 10 (49% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Central Cordoba: Over 10.5Won57%

    Estudiantes L.P.'s opponents committed 14.3 fouls on average, league average 11.0

For the brave
Shots on Target – Central Cordoba: Under 3.5Lost47%

Central Cordoba: 3.0 shots on target a match, Estudiantes L.P.'s opponents had 3.6 on average, league average 4.5; under 3.5 shots on target in 5 of their last 10 league matches, Estudiantes L.P.'s opponents had under 3.5 in 7 of 10 (38% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCentral Cordoba156434%26%Draw32%30%Estudiantes L.P.170634%43%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%48%O2.535%42%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Estudiantes L.P.5:0Central CordobaL
  2. Central Cordoba0:1Estudiantes L.P.L
  3. Central Cordoba2:0Estudiantes L.P.W
  4. Estudiantes L.P.3:2Central CordobaL
  5. Central Cordoba1:1Estudiantes L.P.D
Central Cordoba's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.8under 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.8under 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 2
RefereeA. Gariano−0.7 yellow cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.1total 2.2Attack/defence1.1 : 1.2total 2.4
Central Cordoba : Estudiantes L.P.
Most likely scores
Market1-115%0-013%1-012%0-112%1-2—2-17%Attack/defence1-114%0-010%1-010%0-111%1-28%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-115%1-114%0-00-013%0-010%1-01-012%1-010%0-10-112%0-111%1-21-2—1-28%2-12-17%2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals84%79%79%
12 – no draw68%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat66%62%62%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%67%67%
Under 2.5 goals65%58%58%
Over 1.5 goals63%68%68%
Both teams to score: no57%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes43%48%48%
Under 1.5 goals37%32%32%
Over 2.5 goals35%42%42%
1 – Central Cordoba win34%33% · Elo 26%33%· Elo 26%
2 – Estudiantes L.P. win34%38% · Elo 43%38%· Elo 43%
X – draw32%29% · Elo 30%29%· Elo 30%
Over 3.5 goals16%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Central Cordoba attack vs Estudiantes L.P. defenceattack1455defence1547−92 pts to the attack
Estudiantes L.P. attack vs Central Cordoba defenceattack1553defence1438+115 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 8.0 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.568%63%
7.555%51%
8.541%40%
9.529%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Central Cordobawe expect 3.9, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 35%
Estudiantes L.P.we expect 4.1, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 57%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 23.3 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.560%55%
22.553%50%
23.546%45%
24.540%37%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Central Cordobawe expect 11.4, league average 11.0 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
Estudiantes L.P.we expect 12.0, league average 11.7 · chance of over 11.5: 53%
Referee: 23.1 fouls per match on average (27 matches in our data)−0.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.563%65%
3.541%41%
4.523%26%
5.512%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Central Cordobawe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Estudiantes L.P.we expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 51%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Estudiantes L.P. matches average only 6.7 corners (league 8.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Central Cordoba: no win in 7 matches
  • Estudiantes L.P. score a lot late on: 11 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Central Cordoba: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Estudiantes L.P.: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Estudiantes L.P.1242615:1314
14Central Cordoba1224610:1610
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Central Cordoba vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Central Cordoba 2-2 Estudiantes L.P. (half time 2-2).

Did the Central Cordoba vs Estudiantes L.P. tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Shots on Target – Central Cordoba: Under 4.5. The tip lost.